How did our suggestions turn out?
SolidHit
Not both teams score in the first halfFirst half, both teams to score: no84%we said so
Score 2–0
Most likelyHit
Albania winMatch result: Albania63%we said so
Score 2-0
SurpriseMissed
Albania win, 3+ goalsAlbania + over 2.533%we said so
Score 2–0
5 of 6 suggestions hit
Other strong options:Albania score 2 goals or fewer76%No draw76%3 goals or fewer in the match75%
Who wins? · pre-match
63%Albania23%Draw14%Belarus
Result: Albania wonHow many goals?expected 2.4 · actual 2
012345+
2 goals or fewer 58% · 3 or more 42%Likeliest scores
1–016%2–014%1–111%
The match ended 2–0; before kick-off we gave this score 14%.Expectation and actual
ExpectedActual
Goals2.42Hit
Corners9.27Hit
Scenario that happened“Albania win, 2 goals or fewer” (before the match 30%, the 2nd likeliest scenario). The likeliest scenario, “Albania win, 3+ goals” (33%), did not happen.
How did the match go?
The chances we gave before the match; the one with the green frame happened.
Albania win 63%Draw 23%Belarus win 14%3+ goals3 or more goals · 42%2 goals or fewer2 goals or fewer · 58%
The chances we gave before the match; the green ones happened.
Who wins?
Albania win63%Match result: Albania · fair 1.59✓ happened
Draw23%fair 4.27
Belarus win14%fair 7.34
Who avoids defeat?
Albania avoid defeat83%Double chance: Albania or draw · fair 1.21✓ happened
Belarus avoid defeat42%Double chance: draw or Belarus · fair 2.39did not happen
No draw76%Double chance: Albania or Belarus · fair 1.32✓ happened
Result and goals together
Albania win, 2+ goals45%Albania + over 1.5 · fair 2.24✓ happened
Albania win, 3 goals or fewer42%Albania + under 3.5 · fair 2.41✓ happened
Albania win, 3+ goals33%Albania + over 2.5 · fair 3.03did not happen
Albania win, not both teams score36%Albania + both teams to score: no · fair 2.77✓ happened
By how many goals?
Albania avoid defeat82%Handicap (Albania +1): Albania · fair 1.22✓ happened
Albania don’t win by 2+ goals67%Handicap (Albania -2): Belarus · fair 1.48did not happen
Belarus avoid defeat42%Handicap (Albania -1): Belarus · fair 2.40did not happen
Albania win by 2+ goals33%Handicap (Albania -1): Albania · fair 3.07✓ happened
How many goals in the match?
At most 1 goal in the match32%Total goals under 1.5 · fair 3.08did not happen
2+ goals in the match72%Total goals over 1.5 · fair 1.48✓ happened
2 goals or fewer in the match54%Total goals under 2.5 · fair 1.73✓ happened
3+ goals in the match46%Total goals over 2.5 · fair 2.37did not happen
3 goals or fewer in the match75%Total goals under 3.5 · fair 1.30✓ happened
4+ goals in the match25%fair 4.07
Do both teams score?
Both teams score46%Both teams to score: yes · fair 2.47did not happen
Not both teams score54%Both teams to score: no · fair 1.68✓ happened
How many goals do Albania score?
Albania fail to score18%fair 5.47
Albania score82%Albania goals over 0.5 · fair 1.22✓ happened
Albania score at most 1 goal49%Albania goals under 1.5 · fair 2.08did not happen
Albania score 2+ goals51%Albania goals over 1.5 · fair 1.93✓ happened
Albania score 2 goals or fewer76%Albania goals under 2.5 · fair 1.34✓ happened
Albania score 3+ goals24%fair 4.13
How many goals do Belarus score?
Belarus fail to score44%Belarus goals under 0.5 · fair 1.93✓ happened
Belarus score56%Belarus goals over 0.5 · fair 2.08did not happen
Belarus score at most 1 goal80%Belarus goals under 1.5 · fair 1.25✓ happened
Belarus score 2+ goals20%fair 5.07
Which range do the goals fall in?
2–3 goals in the match47%Total goals 2-3 · fair 2.13✓ happened
Odd or even number of goals?
Odd number of goals50%Total goals odd · fair 2.01did not happen
Even number of goals50%Total goals even · fair 1.99✓ happened
Goals and both teams scoring
2 goals or fewer, not both teams score43%Under 2.5 + both teams to score: no · fair 2.34✓ happened
3+ goals, both teams score34%Over 2.5 + both teams to score: yes · fair 2.91did not happen
Who leads at half-time?
Albania lead at half-time42%Half-time result: Albania · fair 2.41✓ happened
Level at half-time42%Half-time result: draw · fair 2.37did not happen
Belarus lead at half-time16%fair 6.16
How many goals in the first half?
No goals in the first half33%First half goals under 0.5 · fair 3.06did not happen
At least one goal in the first half67%First half goals over 0.5 · fair 1.48✓ happened
At most 1 goal in the first half69%First half goals under 1.5 · fair 1.44did not happen
2+ goals in the first half31%First half goals over 1.5 · fair 3.25✓ happened
Do both teams score in the first half?
Both teams score in the first half16%fair 6.19
Not both teams score in the first half84%First half, both teams to score: no · fair 1.19✓ happened
Who wins the second half?
Albania win the second half46%Second half result: Albania · fair 2.16did not happen
Second half drawn37%Second half result: draw · fair 2.74✓ happened
Belarus win the second half17%fair 5.81
Which half has more goals?
More goals in the first half30%Higher-scoring half: first · fair 3.32✓ happened
Same number of goals in each half27%fair 3.76
More goals in the second half43%Higher-scoring half: second · fair 2.31did not happen
Do Albania win both halves?
Albania win both halves19%fair 5.21
Albania don’t win both halves81%Albania win both halves: no · fair 1.24✓ happened
Half-time and full-time result
Albania lead at half-time, Albania win the match36%Half-time/full-time: Albania / Albania · fair 2.76✓ happened
How many corners do Albania have?
Albania have 5 corners or fewer47%Albania corners under 5.5 · fair 2.18✓ happened
Albania have 6+ corners53%Albania corners over 5.5 · fair 1.85did not happen
How many corners do Belarus have?
Belarus have 2 corners or fewer46%Belarus corners under 2.5 · fair 2.17✓ happened
Belarus have 3+ corners54%Belarus corners over 2.5 · fair 1.86did not happen
Belarus have 3 corners or fewer59%Belarus corners under 3.5 · fair 1.69✓ happened
Belarus have 4+ corners41%Belarus corners over 3.5 · fair 2.45did not happen