How did our suggestions turn out?
Most likelyMissed
Latvia scoreLatvia goals over 0.560%we said so
Latvia: 0 goals
0 of 1 suggestions hit
Who wins? · pre-match
53%Armenia26%Draw21%Latvia
Result: Armenia wonHow many goals?expected 2.5 · actual 2
012345+
2 goals or fewer 54% · 3 or more 46%Likeliest scores
1–013%1–112%2–010%
The match ended 2–0; before kick-off we gave this score 10%.Why did our pick miss?
We said “Latvia score”; the match had 2 goals, and we expected 2.5.
Expectation and actual
ExpectedActual
Goals2.52Hit
Scenario that happened“Armenia win, 2 goals or fewer” (before the match 23%, the 2nd likeliest scenario). The likeliest scenario, “Armenia win, 3+ goals” (30%), did not happen.
How did the match go?
The chances we gave before the match; the one with the green frame happened.
Armenia win 53%Draw 26%Latvia win 21%3+ goals3 or more goals · 46%2 goals or fewer2 goals or fewer · 54%
The chances we gave before the match; the green ones happened.
Who wins?
Armenia win53%fair 1.88
Draw26%fair 3.84
Latvia win21%fair 4.82
Who avoids defeat?
Armenia avoid defeat79%fair 1.26
Latvia avoid defeat47%fair 2.14
No draw74%fair 1.35
How many goals do Latvia score?
Latvia fail to score40%fair 2.49
Latvia score60%Latvia goals over 0.5 · fair 1.67did not happen