How did our suggestions turn out?
SolidHit
4 goals or fewer in the matchTotal goals under 4.585%we said so
4 goals in the match
Most likelyHit
4 cards or fewer in the matchTotal cards under 4.558%we said so
4 cards in the match
SurpriseHit
Austria win, 3+ goalsAustria + over 2.536%we said so
Score 3–1
6 of 6 suggestions hit
Other strong options:Austria don’t win both halves79%Kosovo score at most 1 goal79%No draw76%
Who wins? · pre-match
60%Austria24%Draw17%Kosovo
Result: Austria wonHow many goals?expected 2.6 · actual 4
012345+
2 goals or fewer 51% · 3 or more 49%Likeliest scores
1–013%2–012%1–111%
The match ended 3–1; before kick-off we gave this score 6%.Expectation and actual
ExpectedActual
Goals2.64Hit
Cards4.34Hit
Corners8.66Hit
Scenario that happened“Austria win, 3+ goals” (before the match 36%, the 1st likeliest scenario).
How did the match go?
The chances we gave before the match; the one with the green frame happened.
Austria win 60%Draw 24%Kosovo win 17%3+ goals3 or more goals · 49%2 goals or fewer2 goals or fewer · 51%
The chances we gave before the match; the green ones happened.
Who wins?
Austria win60%Match result: Austria · fair 1.67✓ happened
Draw24%fair 4.25
Kosovo win17%fair 6.01
Who avoids defeat?
Austria avoid defeat83%Double chance: Austria or draw · fair 1.20✓ happened
Kosovo avoid defeat40%Double chance: draw or Kosovo · fair 2.49did not happen
No draw76%Double chance: Austria or Kosovo · fair 1.31✓ happened
Do Austria win without conceding?
Austria win without conceding36%Austria win to nil: yes · fair 2.78did not happen
Austria don’t win without conceding64%Austria win to nil: no · fair 1.56✓ happened
Result and goals together
Austria win, 2+ goals47%Austria + over 1.5 · fair 2.11✓ happened
Austria win, 3 goals or fewer41%Austria + under 3.5 · fair 2.44did not happen
Austria win, 3+ goals36%Austria + over 2.5 · fair 2.79✓ happened
Austria win, not both teams score36%Austria + both teams to score: no · fair 2.78did not happen
By how many goals?
Austria don’t win by 2+ goals65%Handicap (Austria -2): Kosovo · fair 1.53did not happen
Kosovo avoid defeat40%Handicap (Austria -1): Kosovo · fair 2.51did not happen
Austria win by 2+ goals35%Handicap (Austria -1): Austria · fair 2.87✓ happened
How many goals in the match?
At most 1 goal in the match26%fair 3.80
2+ goals in the match74%Total goals over 1.5 · fair 1.36✓ happened
2 goals or fewer in the match51%Total goals under 2.5 · fair 1.98did not happen
3+ goals in the match49%Total goals over 2.5 · fair 2.03✓ happened
3 goals or fewer in the match72%Total goals under 3.5 · fair 1.40did not happen
4+ goals in the match31%Total goals over 3.5 · fair 3.52✓ happened
4 goals or fewer in the match85%Total goals under 4.5 · fair 1.17✓ happened
5+ goals in the match15%fair 6.60
Do both teams score?
Both teams score48%Both teams to score: yes · fair 2.10✓ happened
Not both teams score52%Both teams to score: no · fair 1.91did not happen
How many goals do Austria score?
Austria fail to score16%fair 6.07
Austria score84%Austria goals over 0.5 · fair 1.20✓ happened
Austria score at most 1 goal46%Austria goals under 1.5 · fair 2.19did not happen
Austria score 2+ goals54%Austria goals over 1.5 · fair 1.84✓ happened
Austria score 2 goals or fewer73%Austria goals under 2.5 · fair 1.38did not happen
Austria score 3+ goals27%fair 3.66
How many goals do Kosovo score?
Kosovo fail to score43%Kosovo goals under 0.5 · fair 2.32did not happen
Kosovo score57%Kosovo goals over 0.5 · fair 1.76✓ happened
Kosovo score at most 1 goal79%Kosovo goals under 1.5 · fair 1.27✓ happened
Kosovo score 2+ goals21%fair 4.78
Which range do the goals fall in?
2–3 goals in the match47%Total goals 2-3 · fair 2.14did not happen
Odd or even number of goals?
Odd number of goals50%Total goals odd · fair 2.01did not happen
Even number of goals50%Total goals even · fair 1.99✓ happened
Goals and both teams scoring
2 goals or fewer, not both teams score40%Under 2.5 + both teams to score: no · fair 2.50did not happen
3+ goals, both teams score37%Over 2.5 + both teams to score: yes · fair 2.72✓ happened
Who leads at half-time?
Austria lead at half-time44%Half-time result: Austria · fair 2.24✓ happened
Level at half-time40%Half-time result: draw · fair 2.50did not happen
Kosovo lead at half-time16%fair 6.37
How many goals in the first half?
No goals in the first half31%First half goals under 0.5 · fair 3.26did not happen
At least one goal in the first half69%First half goals over 0.5 · fair 1.44✓ happened
At most 1 goal in the first half67%First half goals under 1.5 · fair 1.50did not happen
2+ goals in the first half33%First half goals over 1.5 · fair 3.01✓ happened
Do both teams score in the first half?
Both teams score in the first half17%fair 5.80
Not both teams score in the first half83%First half, both teams to score: no · fair 1.21✓ happened
Who wins the second half?
Austria win the second half48%Second half result: Austria · fair 2.08did not happen
Second half drawn35%Second half result: draw · fair 2.85✓ happened
Kosovo win the second half17%fair 5.92
Which half has more goals?
More goals in the first half30%Higher-scoring half: first · fair 3.29did not happen
Same number of goals in each half26%fair 3.88
More goals in the second half44%Higher-scoring half: second · fair 2.28did not happen
Do Austria win at least one half?
Austria win at least one half70%Austria win either half: yes · fair 1.42✓ happened
Austria win neither half30%fair 3.38
Do Kosovo win at least one half?
Kosovo win at least one half30%Kosovo win either half: yes · fair 3.31did not happen
Kosovo win neither half70%Kosovo win either half: no · fair 1.43✓ happened
Do Austria win both halves?
Austria win both halves21%fair 4.83
Austria don’t win both halves79%Austria win both halves: no · fair 1.26✓ happened
Half-time and full-time result
Austria lead at half-time, Austria win the match38%Half-time/full-time: Austria / Austria · fair 2.64✓ happened
How many corners do Austria have?
Austria have 5 corners or fewer56%Austria corners under 5.5 · fair 1.79✓ happened
Austria have 6+ corners44%Austria corners over 5.5 · fair 2.27did not happen
How many corners do Kosovo have?
Kosovo have 3 corners or fewer57%Kosovo corners under 3.5 · fair 1.76✓ happened
Kosovo have 4+ corners43%Kosovo corners over 3.5 · fair 2.32did not happen
How many cards in the match?
3 cards or fewer in the match39%Total cards under 3.5 · fair 2.56did not happen
4+ cards in the match61%Total cards over 3.5 · fair 1.64✓ happened
4 cards or fewer in the match58%Total cards under 4.5 · fair 1.74✓ happened
5+ cards in the match42%Total cards over 4.5 · fair 2.36did not happen
5 cards or fewer in the match71%Total cards under 5.5 · fair 1.41✓ happened
6+ cards in the match33%Total cards over 5.5 · fair 3.07did not happen
How many shots on target in the match?
7 shots on target or fewer in the match43%fair 2.33
8+ shots on target in the match57%Total shots on target over 7.5 · fair 1.75did not happen
8 shots on target or fewer in the match54%fair 1.85
9+ shots on target in the match46%Total shots on target over 8.5 · fair 2.17did not happen
9 shots on target or fewer in the match65%fair 1.54
10+ shots on target in the match35%Total shots on target over 9.5 · fair 2.86did not happen
How many shots on target do Austria have?
Austria have 4 shots on target or fewer39%fair 2.55
Austria have 5+ shots on target61%Austria shots on target over 4.5 · fair 1.64✓ happened
Austria have 5 shots on target or fewer53%fair 1.89
Austria have 6+ shots on target47%Austria shots on target over 5.5 · fair 2.12✓ happened
Austria have 6 shots on target or fewer66%fair 1.52
Austria have 7+ shots on target34%Austria shots on target over 6.5 · fair 2.92did not happen
How many shots on target do Kosovo have?
Kosovo have 2 shots on target or fewer48%fair 2.09
Kosovo have 3+ shots on target52%Kosovo shots on target over 2.5 · fair 1.92did not happen
Kosovo have 3 shots on target or fewer67%fair 1.50
Kosovo have 4+ shots on target33%Kosovo shots on target over 3.5 · fair 3.00did not happen