How did our suggestions turn out?
SolidHit
Bulgaria score 2 goals or fewerBulgaria goals under 2.587%we said so
Bulgaria: 1 goal
Most likelyHit
Luxembourg scoreLuxembourg goals over 0.563%we said so
Luxembourg: 2 goals
SurpriseMissed
DrawMatch result: draw30%we said so
Score 1-2
3 of 6 suggestions hit
Other strong options:Bulgaria avoid defeat71%2+ goals in the match65%Not both teams score55%
Who wins? · pre-match
41%Bulgaria30%Draw29%Luxembourg
Result: Luxembourg wonHow many goals?expected 2.2 · actual 3
012345+
2 goals or fewer 62% · 3 or more 38%Likeliest scores
1–114%1–013%0–011%
The match ended 1–2; before kick-off we gave this score 6%.Expectation and actual
ExpectedActual
Goals2.23Hit
Corners8.99Hit
Scenario that happened“Luxembourg win, 3+ goals” (before the match 13%, the 5th likeliest scenario). The likeliest scenario, “Draw, 2 goals or fewer” (25%), did not happen.
How did the match go?
The chances we gave before the match; the one with the green frame happened.
Bulgaria win 41%Draw 30%Luxembourg win 29%3+ goals3 or more goals · 38%2 goals or fewer2 goals or fewer · 62%
The chances we gave before the match; the green ones happened.
Who wins?
Bulgaria win41%Match result: Bulgaria · fair 2.46did not happen
Draw30%Match result: draw · fair 3.33did not happen
Luxembourg win29%fair 3.42
Who avoids defeat?
Bulgaria avoid defeat71%Double chance: Bulgaria or draw · fair 1.41did not happen
Luxembourg avoid defeat59%Double chance: draw or Luxembourg · fair 1.69✓ happened
No draw70%Double chance: Bulgaria or Luxembourg · fair 1.43✓ happened
How many goals in the match?
At most 1 goal in the match35%Total goals under 1.5 · fair 2.84did not happen
2+ goals in the match65%Total goals over 1.5 · fair 1.54✓ happened
2 goals or fewer in the match62%Total goals under 2.5 · fair 1.63did not happen
3+ goals in the match38%Total goals over 2.5 · fair 2.60✓ happened
3 goals or fewer in the match80%Total goals under 3.5 · fair 1.26✓ happened
4+ goals in the match20%fair 5.13
Do both teams score?
Both teams score45%Both teams to score: yes · fair 2.21✓ happened
Not both teams score55%Both teams to score: no · fair 1.83did not happen
How many goals do Bulgaria score?
Bulgaria fail to score29%fair 3.40
Bulgaria score71%Bulgaria goals over 0.5 · fair 1.42✓ happened
Bulgaria score at most 1 goal65%Bulgaria goals under 1.5 · fair 1.53✓ happened
Bulgaria score 2+ goals35%Bulgaria goals over 1.5 · fair 2.87did not happen
Bulgaria score 2 goals or fewer87%Bulgaria goals under 2.5 · fair 1.14✓ happened
Bulgaria score 3+ goals13%fair 7.94
How many goals do Luxembourg score?
Luxembourg fail to score37%Luxembourg goals under 0.5 · fair 2.70did not happen
Luxembourg score63%Luxembourg goals over 0.5 · fair 1.59✓ happened
Luxembourg score at most 1 goal74%Luxembourg goals under 1.5 · fair 1.36did not happen
Luxembourg score 2+ goals26%fair 3.78
How many corners do Bulgaria have?
Bulgaria have 4 corners or fewer51%Bulgaria corners under 4.5 · fair 1.97did not happen
Bulgaria have 5+ corners49%Bulgaria corners over 4.5 · fair 2.03✓ happened
How many corners do Luxembourg have?
Luxembourg have 3 corners or fewer46%Luxembourg corners under 3.5 · fair 2.18did not happen
Luxembourg have 4+ corners54%Luxembourg corners over 3.5 · fair 1.85✓ happened