How did our suggestions turn out?
SolidHit
Not both teams score in the first halfFirst half, both teams to score: no84%we said so
Score 1–0
Most likelyHit
Eldense win neither halfEldense win either half: no61%we said so
Score 1–0
SurpriseMissed
DrawMatch result: draw30%we said so
Score 1-0
5 of 6 suggestions hit
Other strong options:3 goals or fewer in the match79%Burgos avoid defeat76%Eldense score at most 1 goal76%
Who wins? · pre-match
46%Burgos30%Draw24%Eldense
Result: Burgos wonHow many goals?expected 2.3 · actual 1
012345+
2 goals or fewer 60% · 3 or more 40%Likeliest scores
1–114%1–013%0–011%
The match ended 1–0; before kick-off we gave this score 13%.Expectation and actual
ExpectedActual
Goals2.31Hit
Cards5.05Hit
Corners9.27Hit
Shots on target7.76Hit
Scenario that happened“Burgos win, 2 goals or fewer” (before the match 22%, the 3rd likeliest scenario). The likeliest scenario, “Draw, 2 goals or fewer” (25%), did not happen.
What we said before the match
Burgos are unbeaten at home.2 wins, 1 draw, 0 defeats from 3 home matches.Burgos avoid defeat76%Hit
Eldense pick up few cards.Eldense have the 3rd-fewest cards in the league. 5.0 cards expected in this match.5 cards or fewer in the match63%Hit
Eldense win a lot of corners.6.8 corners per match, the most in the league.
How did the match go?
The chances we gave before the match; the one with the green frame happened.
Burgos win 46%Draw 30%Eldense win 24%3+ goals3 or more goals · 40%2 goals or fewer2 goals or fewer · 60%
Last 5 matchesHead-to-head: they have not met in this league in recent seasons.
BurgosLDDWW
EldenseDLDWL
Per matchBurgosEldense
Goals scored1.570.57
Goals conceded1.001.29
Corners won3.46.6
Cards shown2.41.9
Line-upsStarting XIs come about an hour before kick-off; when they do, a “Line-ups” tab appears. Our suggestions are updated until the match starts.
The chances we gave before the match; the green ones happened.
Who wins?
Burgos win46%Match result: Burgos · fair 2.18✓ happened
Draw30%Match result: draw · fair 3.32did not happen
Eldense win24%fair 4.16
Who avoids defeat?
Burgos avoid defeat76%Double chance: Burgos or draw · fair 1.32✓ happened
Eldense avoid defeat54%Double chance: draw or Eldense · fair 1.85did not happen
No draw70%Double chance: Burgos or Eldense · fair 1.43✓ happened
Do Burgos win without conceding?
Burgos win without conceding29%fair 3.41
Burgos don’t win without conceding71%Burgos win to nil: no · fair 1.41did not happen
Result and goals together
Burgos win, 3 goals or fewer36%Burgos + under 3.5 · fair 2.77✓ happened
Burgos win, 2+ goals34%Burgos + over 1.5 · fair 2.98did not happen
By how many goals?
Burgos don’t win by 2+ goals77%Handicap (Burgos -2): Eldense · fair 1.29✓ happened
Burgos avoid defeat74%Handicap (Burgos +1): Burgos · fair 1.34✓ happened
Eldense avoid defeat53%Handicap (Burgos -1): Eldense · fair 1.89did not happen
How many goals in the match?
At most 1 goal in the match32%Total goals under 1.5 · fair 3.14✓ happened
2+ goals in the match68%Total goals over 1.5 · fair 1.47did not happen
2 goals or fewer in the match59%Total goals under 2.5 · fair 1.70✓ happened
3+ goals in the match41%Total goals over 2.5 · fair 2.42did not happen
3 goals or fewer in the match79%Total goals under 3.5 · fair 1.28✓ happened
4+ goals in the match21%fair 4.73
Do both teams score?
Both teams score46%Both teams to score: yes · fair 2.20did not happen
Not both teams score54%Both teams to score: no · fair 1.84✓ happened
How many goals do Burgos score?
Burgos fail to score25%fair 4.05
Burgos score75%Burgos goals over 0.5 · fair 1.32✓ happened
Burgos score at most 1 goal60%Burgos goals under 1.5 · fair 1.68✓ happened
Burgos score 2+ goals40%Burgos goals over 1.5 · fair 2.46did not happen
Burgos score 2 goals or fewer84%Burgos goals under 2.5 · fair 1.19✓ happened
Burgos score 3+ goals16%fair 6.18
How many goals do Eldense score?
Eldense fail to score39%Eldense goals under 0.5 · fair 2.62✓ happened
Eldense score61%Eldense goals over 0.5 · fair 1.62did not happen
Eldense score at most 1 goal76%Eldense goals under 1.5 · fair 1.33✓ happened
Eldense score 2+ goals24%fair 4.11
Which range do the goals fall in?
2–3 goals in the match47%Total goals 2-3 · fair 2.13did not happen
0–1 goals in the match33%Total goals 0-1 · fair 3.06✓ happened
Goals and both teams scoring
2 goals or fewer, not both teams score46%Under 2.5 + both teams to score: no · fair 2.16✓ happened
3+ goals, both teams score33%Over 2.5 + both teams to score: yes · fair 3.05did not happen
Who leads at half-time?
Burgos lead at half-time34%Half-time result: Burgos · fair 2.90✓ happened
Level at half-time45%Half-time result: draw · fair 2.23did not happen
Eldense lead at half-time21%fair 4.84
How many goals in the first half?
No goals in the first half36%First half goals under 0.5 · fair 2.81did not happen
At least one goal in the first half64%First half goals over 0.5 · fair 1.55✓ happened
At most 1 goal in the first half72%First half goals under 1.5 · fair 1.39✓ happened
2+ goals in the first half28%fair 3.60
Do both teams score in the first half?
Both teams score in the first half16%fair 6.39
Not both teams score in the first half84%First half, both teams to score: no · fair 1.19✓ happened
Who wins the second half?
Burgos win the second half38%Second half result: Burgos · fair 2.65did not happen
Second half drawn40%Second half result: draw · fair 2.51✓ happened
Eldense win the second half23%fair 4.44
Which half has more goals?
More goals in the first half30%Higher-scoring half: first · fair 3.33✓ happened
Same number of goals in each half28%fair 3.61
More goals in the second half42%Higher-scoring half: second · fair 2.36did not happen
Do Burgos win at least one half?
Burgos win at least one half59%Burgos win either half: yes · fair 1.70✓ happened
Burgos win neither half41%Burgos win either half: no · fair 2.43did not happen
Do Eldense win at least one half?
Eldense win at least one half39%Eldense win either half: yes · fair 2.59did not happen
Eldense win neither half61%Eldense win either half: no · fair 1.63✓ happened
How many corners do Burgos have?
Burgos have 4 corners or fewer48%Burgos corners under 4.5 · fair 2.24✓ happened
Burgos have 5+ corners52%Burgos corners over 4.5 · fair 1.81did not happen
How many corners do Eldense have?
Eldense have 3 corners or fewer42%Eldense corners under 3.5 · fair 2.17did not happen
Eldense have 4+ corners58%Eldense corners over 3.5 · fair 1.86✓ happened
How many cards in the match?
3 cards or fewer in the match29%fair 3.44
4+ cards in the match71%Total cards over 3.5 · fair 1.46✓ happened
4 cards or fewer in the match46%Total cards under 4.5 · fair 2.12did not happen
5+ cards in the match54%Total cards over 4.5 · fair 1.90✓ happened
5 cards or fewer in the match63%Total cards under 5.5 · fair 1.57✓ happened
6+ cards in the match37%Total cards over 5.5 · fair 2.76did not happen
Last 6 league matches, newest on the left. The number on the right is the chance worked out for this match: streaks are a small sample, while the chance also takes the opponent and the league average into account.
- 3+ goalsthis match 41%
Burgos4/6
Eldense3/6 - 2+ goalsthis match 67%Burgos4/6Eldense3/6
- Both teams scorethis match 46%Burgos4/6Eldense2/6
- Team scoresBurgos4/675%Eldense3/661%
- 10+ cornersthis match 44%Burgos3/6Eldense4/6
- 4+ cardsthis match 73%Burgos4/6Eldense5/6
Las Palmas
Ceuta
Oviedo
Sociedad B
Sporting Gijón
Cordoba
Eibar
Mallorca
Leganes
Cadiz
Almeria2026-27 season, averages per match.
Burgosper matchEldense- 1.57opponents 1.00Goalsleague 1.240.57opponents 1.29
- 9.9opponents 14.6Shotsleague 12.612.6opponents 10.1
- 2.7opponents 4.3Shots on targetleague 4.14.0opponents 4.6
- 3.4opponents 6.4Cornersleague 4.36.6opponents 3.7
- 2.4opponents 2.1Cardsleague 2.51.9opponents 2.4
This season: Burgos 7 matches, Eldense 7 matches. The big number is the team’s own, the one below its opponents’; the league figure is per team.
Girona
AndorraThey have not met in this league in recent seasons.