How did our suggestions turn out?
SolidHit
Czechia score at most 1 goalCzechia goals under 1.585%we said so
Czechia: 0 goals
Most likelyHit
3 goals or fewer in the matchTotal goals under 3.564%we said so
2 goals in the match
SurpriseMissed
England win, 4+ goalsEngland + over 3.530%we said so
Score 0–2
5 of 6 suggestions hit
Other strong options:Czechia win neither half79%2+ cards in the match79%England win74%
Who wins? · pre-match
9%Czechia17%Draw74%England
Result: England wonHow many goals?expected 3.0 · actual 2
012345+
2 goals or fewer 42% · 3 or more 58%Likeliest scores
0–213%0–111%0–310%
The match ended 0–2; before kick-off we gave this score 13%.Expectation and actual
ExpectedActual
Goals3.02Hit
Cards3.32Hit
Corners9.47Hit
Scenario that happened“England win, 2 goals or fewer” (before the match 24%, the 2nd likeliest scenario). The likeliest scenario, “England win, 3+ goals” (50%), did not happen.
How did the match go?
The chances we gave before the match; the one with the green frame happened.
Czechia win 9%Draw 17%England win 74%3+ goals3 or more goals · 58%2 goals or fewer2 goals or fewer · 42%
The chances we gave before the match; the green ones happened.
Who wins?
Czechia win9%fair 11.06
Draw17%fair 5.98
England win74%Match result: England · fair 1.35✓ happened
Who avoids defeat?
Czechia avoid defeat30%Double chance: Czechia or draw · fair 3.33did not happen
England avoid defeat91%fair 1.10
No draw83%Double chance: Czechia or England · fair 1.20✓ happened
Do England win without conceding?
England win without conceding45%England win to nil: yes · fair 2.21✓ happened
England don’t win without conceding55%England win to nil: no · fair 1.82did not happen
Result and goals together
England win, 2+ goals63%England + over 1.5 · fair 1.58✓ happened
England win, 3+ goals50%England + over 2.5 · fair 2.00did not happen
England win, 3 goals or fewer44%England + under 3.5 · fair 2.28✓ happened
England win, 4+ goals30%England + over 3.5 · fair 3.28did not happen
England win, not both teams score45%England + both teams to score: no · fair 2.21✓ happened
By how many goals?
England win by 2+ goals51%Handicap (Czechia +1): England · fair 1.96✓ happened
England don’t win by 2+ goals49%Handicap (Czechia +2): Czechia · fair 2.05did not happen
Czechia avoid defeat30%Handicap (Czechia +1): Czechia · fair 3.33did not happen
How many goals in the match?
At most 1 goal in the match19%fair 5.16
2+ goals in the match81%Total goals over 1.5 · fair 1.24✓ happened
2 goals or fewer in the match41%Total goals under 2.5 · fair 2.41✓ happened
3+ goals in the match59%Total goals over 2.5 · fair 1.71did not happen
3 goals or fewer in the match64%Total goals under 3.5 · fair 1.57✓ happened
4+ goals in the match36%Total goals over 3.5 · fair 2.75did not happen
4 goals or fewer in the match81%Total goals under 4.5 · fair 1.24✓ happened
5+ goals in the match19%fair 5.24
Do both teams score?
Both teams score45%Both teams to score: yes · fair 2.21did not happen
Not both teams score55%Both teams to score: no · fair 1.82✓ happened
How many goals do Czechia score?
Czechia fail to score50%Czechia goals under 0.5 · fair 2.03✓ happened
Czechia score50%Czechia goals over 0.5 · fair 1.97did not happen
Czechia score at most 1 goal85%Czechia goals under 1.5 · fair 1.18✓ happened
Czechia score 2+ goals15%fair 6.52
How many goals do England score?
England score at most 1 goal32%England goals under 1.5 · fair 3.17did not happen
England score 2+ goals68%England goals over 1.5 · fair 1.46✓ happened
England score 2 goals or fewer59%England goals under 2.5 · fair 1.69✓ happened
England score 3+ goals41%England goals over 2.5 · fair 2.45did not happen
Which range do the goals fall in?
2–3 goals in the match45%Total goals 2-3 · fair 2.25✓ happened
Goals and both teams scoring
3+ goals, both teams score37%Over 2.5 + both teams to score: yes · fair 2.67did not happen
2 goals or fewer, not both teams score34%Under 2.5 + both teams to score: no · fair 2.97✓ happened
Who leads at half-time?
Czechia lead at half-time11%fair 9.01
Level at half-time35%Half-time result: draw · fair 2.85✓ happened
England lead at half-time54%Half-time result: England · fair 1.87did not happen
How many goals in the first half?
No goals in the first half27%fair 3.66
At least one goal in the first half73%First half goals over 0.5 · fair 1.40did not happen
At most 1 goal in the first half61%First half goals under 1.5 · fair 1.62✓ happened
2+ goals in the first half39%First half goals over 1.5 · fair 2.62did not happen
2 goals or fewer in the first half85%First half goals under 2.5 · fair 1.18✓ happened
3+ goals in the first half15%fair 6.46
Do both teams score in the first half?
Both teams score in the first half17%fair 5.82
Not both teams score in the first half83%First half, both teams to score: no · fair 1.21✓ happened
Who wins the second half?
Czechia win the second half10%fair 10.43
Second half drawn30%Second half result: draw · fair 3.29did not happen
England win the second half60%Second half result: England · fair 1.67✓ happened
Which half has more goals?
More goals in the first half31%Higher-scoring half: first · fair 3.24did not happen
Same number of goals in each half24%fair 4.21
More goals in the second half45%Higher-scoring half: second · fair 2.20✓ happened
Do Czechia win at least one half?
Czechia win at least one half21%fair 4.86
Czechia win neither half79%Czechia win either half: no · fair 1.26✓ happened
Do England win at least one half?
England win at least one half82%England win either half: yes · fair 1.22✓ happened
England win neither half18%fair 5.47
Do England win both halves?
England win both halves33%England win both halves: yes · fair 3.07did not happen
England don’t win both halves67%England win both halves: no · fair 1.48✓ happened
Half-time and full-time result
England lead at half-time, England win the match50%Half-time/full-time: England / England · fair 1.98did not happen
How many corners do Czechia have?
Czechia have 3 corners or fewer59%Czechia corners under 3.5 · fair 1.70✓ happened
Czechia have 4+ corners41%Czechia corners over 3.5 · fair 2.43did not happen
How many corners do England have?
England have 5 corners or fewer48%England corners under 5.5 · fair 2.08did not happen
England have 6+ corners52%England corners over 5.5 · fair 1.92✓ happened
How many cards in the match?
At most 1 card in the match21%fair 4.68
2+ cards in the match79%Total cards over 1.5 · fair 1.27✓ happened
2 cards or fewer in the match40%Total cards under 2.5 · fair 2.49✓ happened
3+ cards in the match60%Total cards over 2.5 · fair 1.67did not happen
3 cards or fewer in the match60%Total cards under 3.5 · fair 1.68✓ happened
4+ cards in the match40%Total cards over 3.5 · fair 2.47did not happen