How did our suggestions turn out?
SolidHit
No drawDouble chance: Denmark or Wales81%we said so
Score 2-0
Most likelyHit
At most 1 goal in the first halfFirst half goals under 1.560%we said so
Score 2–0
SurpriseMissed
Denmark win, 3+ goalsDenmark + over 2.547%we said so
Score 2–0
5 of 6 suggestions hit
Other strong options:4 goals or fewer in the match80%Wales score at most 1 goal79%Denmark win at least one half78%
Who wins? · pre-match
69%Denmark19%Draw13%Wales
Result: Denmark wonHow many goals?expected 3.1 · actual 2
012345+
2 goals or fewer 40% · 3 or more 60%Likeliest scores
2–011%1–010%2–110%
The match ended 2–0; before kick-off we gave this score 11%.Expectation and actual
ExpectedActual
Goals3.12Hit
Cards3.83Hit
Corners9.76Close
Scenario that happened“Denmark win, 2 goals or fewer” (before the match 21%, the 2nd likeliest scenario). The likeliest scenario, “Denmark win, 3+ goals” (47%), did not happen.
How did the match go?
The chances we gave before the match; the one with the green frame happened.
Denmark win 69%Draw 19%Wales win 13%3+ goals3 or more goals · 60%2 goals or fewer2 goals or fewer · 40%
The chances we gave before the match; the green ones happened.
Who wins?
Denmark win69%Match result: Denmark · fair 1.45✓ happened
Draw19%fair 5.38
Wales win13%fair 7.97
Who avoids defeat?
Denmark avoid defeat87%fair 1.14
Wales avoid defeat31%Double chance: draw or Wales · fair 3.21did not happen
No draw81%Double chance: Denmark or Wales · fair 1.23✓ happened
Do Denmark win without conceding?
Denmark win without conceding38%Denmark win to nil: yes · fair 2.62✓ happened
Denmark don’t win without conceding62%Denmark win to nil: no · fair 1.62did not happen
Result and goals together
Denmark win, 2+ goals59%Denmark + over 1.5 · fair 1.70✓ happened
Denmark win, 3+ goals47%Denmark + over 2.5 · fair 2.11did not happen
Denmark win, 3 goals or fewer40%Denmark + under 3.5 · fair 2.51✓ happened
Denmark win, not both teams score38%Denmark + both teams to score: no · fair 2.62✓ happened
Denmark win, both teams score31%Denmark + both teams to score: yes · fair 3.25did not happen
By how many goals?
Denmark don’t win by 2+ goals54%Handicap (Denmark -2): Wales · fair 1.84did not happen
Denmark win by 2+ goals46%Handicap (Denmark -1): Denmark · fair 2.20✓ happened
Wales avoid defeat31%Handicap (Denmark -1): Wales · fair 3.23did not happen
How many goals in the match?
At most 1 goal in the match21%fair 4.66
2+ goals in the match79%Total goals over 1.5 · fair 1.32✓ happened
2 goals or fewer in the match40%Total goals under 2.5 · fair 2.49✓ happened
3+ goals in the match60%Total goals over 2.5 · fair 1.67did not happen
3 goals or fewer in the match62%Total goals under 3.5 · fair 1.62✓ happened
4+ goals in the match38%Total goals over 3.5 · fair 2.62did not happen
4 goals or fewer in the match80%Total goals under 4.5 · fair 1.25✓ happened
5+ goals in the match20%fair 4.97
Do both teams score?
Both teams score51%Both teams to score: yes · fair 1.95did not happen
Not both teams score49%Both teams to score: no · fair 2.05✓ happened
How many goals do Denmark score?
Denmark score at most 1 goal34%Denmark goals under 1.5 · fair 2.98did not happen
Denmark score 2+ goals66%Denmark goals over 1.5 · fair 1.50✓ happened
Denmark score 2 goals or fewer61%Denmark goals under 2.5 · fair 1.65✓ happened
Denmark score 3+ goals39%Denmark goals over 2.5 · fair 2.54did not happen
How many goals do Wales score?
Wales fail to score43%Wales goals under 0.5 · fair 2.31✓ happened
Wales score57%Wales goals over 0.5 · fair 1.76did not happen
Wales score at most 1 goal79%Wales goals under 1.5 · fair 1.27✓ happened
Wales score 2+ goals21%fair 4.73
Which range do the goals fall in?
2–3 goals in the match44%Total goals 2-3 · fair 2.27✓ happened
Odd or even number of goals?
Odd number of goals50%Total goals odd · fair 2.01did not happen
Even number of goals50%Total goals even · fair 1.99✓ happened
Goals and both teams scoring
3+ goals, both teams score43%Over 2.5 + both teams to score: yes · fair 2.35did not happen
2 goals or fewer, not both teams score32%Under 2.5 + both teams to score: no · fair 3.17✓ happened
Who leads at half-time?
Denmark lead at half-time51%Half-time result: Denmark · fair 1.96did not happen
Level at half-time36%Half-time result: draw · fair 2.81✓ happened
Wales lead at half-time14%fair 7.36
How many goals in the first half?
No goals in the first half27%fair 3.64
At least one goal in the first half73%First half goals over 0.5 · fair 1.42did not happen
At most 1 goal in the first half60%First half goals under 1.5 · fair 1.65✓ happened
2+ goals in the first half40%First half goals over 1.5 · fair 2.54did not happen
2 goals or fewer in the first half84%First half goals under 2.5 · fair 1.19✓ happened
3+ goals in the first half16%fair 6.20
Do both teams score in the first half?
Both teams score in the first half20%fair 5.02
Not both teams score in the first half80%First half, both teams to score: no · fair 1.25✓ happened
Who wins the second half?
Denmark win the second half56%Second half result: Denmark · fair 1.79✓ happened
Second half drawn30%Second half result: draw · fair 3.32did not happen
Wales win the second half14%fair 7.13
Which half has more goals?
More goals in the first half31%Higher-scoring half: first · fair 3.24did not happen
Same number of goals in each half24%fair 4.26
More goals in the second half46%Higher-scoring half: second · fair 2.19✓ happened
Do Denmark win at least one half?
Denmark win at least one half78%Denmark win either half: yes · fair 1.28✓ happened
Denmark win neither half22%fair 4.58
Do Wales win at least one half?
Wales win at least one half26%fair 3.87
Wales win neither half74%Wales win either half: no · fair 1.35✓ happened
Do Denmark win both halves?
Denmark win both halves28%fair 3.54
Denmark don’t win both halves72%Denmark win both halves: no · fair 1.39✓ happened
Half-time and full-time result
Denmark lead at half-time, Denmark win the match46%Half-time/full-time: Denmark / Denmark · fair 2.18did not happen
How many corners do Denmark have?
Denmark have 5 corners or fewer43%Denmark corners under 5.5 · fair 2.30✓ happened
Denmark have 6+ corners57%Denmark corners over 5.5 · fair 1.77did not happen
Denmark have 6 corners or fewer54%Denmark corners under 6.5 · fair 1.84✓ happened
Denmark have 7+ corners46%Denmark corners over 6.5 · fair 2.19did not happen
How many corners do Wales have?
Wales have 3 corners or fewer58%Wales corners under 3.5 · fair 1.73did not happen
Wales have 4+ corners42%Wales corners over 3.5 · fair 2.38✓ happened
How many cards in the match?
2 cards or fewer in the match32%Total cards under 2.5 · fair 3.35did not happen
3+ cards in the match70%Total cards over 2.5 · fair 1.43✓ happened
3 cards or fewer in the match49%Total cards under 3.5 · fair 2.05✓ happened
4+ cards in the match51%Total cards over 3.5 · fair 1.95did not happen
4 cards or fewer in the match66%Total cards under 4.5 · fair 1.50✓ happened
5+ cards in the match34%Total cards over 4.5 · fair 2.98did not happen
How many shots on target in the match?
8 shots on target or fewer in the match50%fair 1.98
9+ shots on target in the match50%Total shots on target over 8.5 · fair 2.02did not happen
9 shots on target or fewer in the match61%fair 1.63
10+ shots on target in the match39%Total shots on target over 9.5 · fair 2.59did not happen
How many shots on target do Denmark have?
Denmark have 5 shots on target or fewer47%fair 2.12
Denmark have 6+ shots on target53%Denmark shots on target over 5.5 · fair 1.90did not happen
Denmark have 6 shots on target or fewer60%fair 1.66
Denmark have 7+ shots on target40%Denmark shots on target over 6.5 · fair 2.52did not happen
How many shots on target do Wales have?
Wales have 2 shots on target or fewer50%fair 2.00
Wales have 3+ shots on target50%Wales shots on target over 2.5 · fair 2.00✓ happened
Wales have 3 shots on target or fewer69%fair 1.46
Wales have 4+ shots on target31%Wales shots on target over 3.5 · fair 3.18did not happen
How many shots in the match?
23 shots or fewer in the match47%fair 2.15
24+ shots in the match53%Total shots over 23.5 · fair 1.87✓ happened
25 shots or fewer in the match58%fair 1.73
26+ shots in the match42%Total shots over 25.5 · fair 2.38✓ happened
27 shots or fewer in the match69%fair 1.45
28+ shots in the match31%Total shots over 27.5 · fair 3.24✓ happened
How many shots do Denmark have?
Denmark have 14 shots or fewer44%fair 2.25
Denmark have 15+ shots56%Denmark shots over 14.5 · fair 1.80✓ happened
Denmark have 16 shots or fewer58%fair 1.71
Denmark have 17+ shots42%Denmark shots over 16.5 · fair 2.40✓ happened
How many shots do Wales have?
Wales have 8 shots or fewer53%fair 1.90
Wales have 9+ shots47%Wales shots over 8.5 · fair 2.11✓ happened
Wales have 10 shots or fewer69%fair 1.45
Wales have 11+ shots31%Wales shots over 10.5 · fair 3.24did not happen