How did our suggestions turn out?
SolidMissed
4 goals or fewer in the matchTotal goals under 4.586%we said so
5 goals in the match
Most likelyMissed
Eibar have 5 corners or fewerEibar corners under 5.561%we said so
Eibar: 6 corners
SurpriseHit
Eibar win, 3+ goalsEibar + over 2.532%we said so
Score 3–2
2 of 6 suggestions hit
Other strong options:Eibar avoid defeat80%Eibar score 2 goals or fewer76%Las Palmas score at most 1 goal73%
Who wins? · pre-match
51%Eibar28%Draw20%Las Palmas
Result: Eibar wonHow many goals?expected 2.7 · actual 5
012345+
2 goals or fewer 51% · 3 or more 49%Likeliest scores
1–113%1–011%2–09%
The match ended 3–2; before kick-off we gave this score 3%.Why did our pick miss?
We said “Eibar have 5 corners or fewer”; the match had 7 corners, and we expected 9.2.
Expectation and actual
ExpectedActual
Goals2.75Close
Cards4.57Close
Corners9.27Hit
Shots on target8.511Hit
Scenario that happened“Eibar win, 3+ goals” (before the match 31%, the 1st likeliest scenario).
What we said before the match
Las Palmas pick up few cards.Las Palmas have the fewest cards in the league. 4.5 cards expected in this match.5 cards or fewer in the match67%Missed
Eibar are in form.5 wins in their last 5 matches.Eibar win51%Hit
Eibar win few corners.3.0 corners per match, the 2nd-fewest in the league.
How did the match go?
The chances we gave before the match; the one with the green frame happened.
Eibar win 51%Draw 28%Las Palmas win 20%3+ goals3 or more goals · 49%2 goals or fewer2 goals or fewer · 51%
Last 5 matchesHead-to-head: they have not met in this league in recent seasons.
EibarWWWWW
Las PalmasWLDWL
Per matchEibarLas Palmas
Goals scored2.141.43
Goals conceded0.861.57
Corners won3.44.3
Cards shown2.32.3
Line-upsStarting XIs come about an hour before kick-off; when they do, a “Line-ups” tab appears. Our suggestions are updated until the match starts.
The chances we gave before the match; the green ones happened.
Who wins?
Eibar win51%Match result: Eibar · fair 1.95✓ happened
Draw28%fair 3.54
Las Palmas win20%fair 4.88
Who avoids defeat?
Eibar avoid defeat80%Double chance: Eibar or draw · fair 1.26✓ happened
Las Palmas avoid defeat49%Double chance: draw or Las Palmas · fair 2.05did not happen
No draw72%Double chance: Eibar or Las Palmas · fair 1.39✓ happened
Do Eibar win without conceding?
Eibar win without conceding30%fair 3.35
Eibar don’t win without conceding70%Eibar win to nil: no · fair 1.42✓ happened
Result and goals together
Eibar win, 2+ goals42%Eibar + over 1.5 · fair 2.41✓ happened
Eibar win, 3 goals or fewer36%Eibar + under 3.5 · fair 2.76did not happen
Eibar win, 3+ goals32%Eibar + over 2.5 · fair 3.14✓ happened
By how many goals?
Eibar avoid defeat77%Handicap (Eibar +1): Eibar · fair 1.29✓ happened
Eibar don’t win by 2+ goals71%Handicap (Eibar -2): Las Palmas · fair 1.40✓ happened
Las Palmas avoid defeat47%Handicap (Eibar -1): Las Palmas · fair 2.13did not happen
How many goals in the match?
At most 1 goal in the match25%fair 3.97
2+ goals in the match75%Total goals over 1.5 · fair 1.33✓ happened
2 goals or fewer in the match50%Total goals under 2.5 · fair 2.02did not happen
3+ goals in the match50%Total goals over 2.5 · fair 1.99✓ happened
3 goals or fewer in the match71%Total goals under 3.5 · fair 1.42did not happen
4+ goals in the match29%fair 3.48
4 goals or fewer in the match86%Total goals under 4.5 · fair 1.17did not happen
5+ goals in the match14%fair 7.15
Do both teams score?
Both teams score51%Both teams to score: yes · fair 1.95✓ happened
Not both teams score49%Both teams to score: no · fair 2.06did not happen
How many goals do Eibar score?
Eibar fail to score19%fair 5.32
Eibar score81%Eibar goals over 0.5 · fair 1.23✓ happened
Eibar score at most 1 goal50%Eibar goals under 1.5 · fair 2.00did not happen
Eibar score 2+ goals50%Eibar goals over 1.5 · fair 2.00✓ happened
Eibar score 2 goals or fewer76%Eibar goals under 2.5 · fair 1.31did not happen
Eibar score 3+ goals24%fair 4.24
How many goals do Las Palmas score?
Las Palmas fail to score36%Las Palmas goals under 0.5 · fair 2.79did not happen
Las Palmas score64%Las Palmas goals over 0.5 · fair 1.56✓ happened
Las Palmas score at most 1 goal73%Las Palmas goals under 1.5 · fair 1.36did not happen
Las Palmas score 2+ goals27%fair 3.76
Which range do the goals fall in?
2–3 goals in the match47%Total goals 2-3 · fair 2.14did not happen
Goals and both teams scoring
3+ goals, both teams score40%Over 2.5 + both teams to score: yes · fair 2.51✓ happened
2 goals or fewer, not both teams score38%Under 2.5 + both teams to score: no · fair 2.60did not happen
Who leads at half-time?
Eibar lead at half-time38%Half-time result: Eibar · fair 2.64✓ happened
Level at half-time41%Half-time result: draw · fair 2.41did not happen
Las Palmas lead at half-time20%fair 4.92
How many goals in the first half?
No goals in the first half31%First half goals under 0.5 · fair 3.25did not happen
At least one goal in the first half69%First half goals over 0.5 · fair 1.45✓ happened
At most 1 goal in the first half67%First half goals under 1.5 · fair 1.50did not happen
2+ goals in the first half33%First half goals over 1.5 · fair 3.00✓ happened
Do both teams score in the first half?
Both teams score in the first half19%fair 5.30
Not both teams score in the first half81%First half, both teams to score: no · fair 1.23did not happen
Who wins the second half?
Eibar win the second half43%Second half result: Eibar · fair 2.33did not happen
Second half drawn36%Second half result: draw · fair 2.78✓ happened
Las Palmas win the second half21%fair 4.73
Which half has more goals?
More goals in the first half30%Higher-scoring half: first · fair 3.29✓ happened
Same number of goals in each half26%fair 3.90
More goals in the second half44%Higher-scoring half: second · fair 2.27did not happen
Do Eibar win at least one half?
Eibar win at least one half65%Eibar win either half: yes · fair 1.54✓ happened
Eibar win neither half35%Eibar win either half: no · fair 2.86did not happen
Do Las Palmas win at least one half?
Las Palmas win at least one half37%Las Palmas win either half: yes · fair 2.72did not happen
Las Palmas win neither half63%Las Palmas win either half: no · fair 1.58✓ happened
Do Eibar win both halves?
Eibar win both halves17%fair 6.03
Eibar don’t win both halves83%Eibar win both halves: no · fair 1.20✓ happened
Half-time and full-time result
Eibar lead at half-time, Eibar win the match33%Half-time/full-time: Eibar / Eibar · fair 3.07✓ happened
How many corners do Eibar have?
Eibar have 5 corners or fewer61%Eibar corners under 5.5 · fair 1.63did not happen
Eibar have 6+ corners39%Eibar corners over 5.5 · fair 2.59✓ happened
How many corners do Las Palmas have?
Las Palmas have 3 corners or fewer44%Las Palmas corners under 3.5 · fair 2.23✓ happened
Las Palmas have 4+ corners56%Las Palmas corners over 3.5 · fair 1.81did not happen
How many cards in the match?
3 cards or fewer in the match33%Total cards under 3.5 · fair 3.23did not happen
4+ cards in the match67%Total cards over 3.5 · fair 1.45✓ happened
4 cards or fewer in the match51%Total cards under 4.5 · fair 2.06did not happen
5+ cards in the match49%Total cards over 4.5 · fair 1.94✓ happened
5 cards or fewer in the match67%Total cards under 5.5 · fair 1.58did not happen
6+ cards in the match33%Total cards over 5.5 · fair 2.72✓ happened
Last 6 league matches, newest on the left. The number on the right is the chance worked out for this match: streaks are a small sample, while the chance also takes the opponent and the league average into account.
- 3+ goalsthis match 50%
Eibar4/6
Las Palmas3/6 - 2+ goalsthis match 75%Eibar4/6Las Palmas4/6
- Both teams scorethis match 52%Eibar2/6Las Palmas3/6
- Team scoresEibar6/681%Las Palmas5/663%
- 10+ cornersthis match 43%Eibar3/6Las Palmas3/6
- 4+ cardsthis match 66%Eibar4/6Las Palmas4/6
Eldense
Celta B
Andorra
Valladolid
Burgos
Cadiz
Leganes
Girona
Ceuta
Albacete2026-27 season, averages per match.
Eibarper matchLas Palmas- 2.14opponents 0.86Goalsleague 1.271.43opponents 1.57
- 11.6opponents 17.6Shotsleague 12.710.4opponents 13.0
- 4.9opponents 5.1Shots on targetleague 4.13.9opponents 4.1
- 3.4opponents 4.9Cornersleague 4.34.3opponents 5.3
- 2.3opponents 3.0Cardsleague 2.52.3opponents 2.1
This season: Eibar 7 matches, Las Palmas 7 matches. The big number is the team’s own, the one below its opponents’; the league figure is per team.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eibar | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Castellon | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 16 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Almeria | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 15 | LWWWW |
| 9 |  Tenerife | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 11 | LDWLD |
| 10 |  Sporting Gijón | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 | WWLLW |
| 11 | Las Palmas | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 | LDWLL |
| 12 |  Oviedo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 | LWDWL |
| 13 |  Granada | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 | WLDLL |
They have not met in this league in recent seasons.