Which matches shall we look at?
Both sides’ last 10 games · every competitionWho is in form?
goals scoredgoals concededexpected goals (xG)
1 W · 3 D · 1 L1.2 points a game2 scored · 2 conceded
- W
LuxembourgH3 Oct10 - D
BulgariaA29 Sept00 - D
IcelandA26 Sept11 - L
SlovakiaA19 Nov01 - D
AzerbaijanA16 Nov00
Last 9 at home: 4W 3D 2L
2 W · 1 D · 2 L1.4 points a game9 scored · 6 conceded
- W
BulgariaH3 Oct30 - W
LuxembourgA29 Sept30 - D
EstoniaH26 Sept11 - L
KosovoH23 Mar13 - L
KosovoA20 Mar12
Last 10 away: 2W 2D 6L
The two sides side by side
Last 10Tick: the league average.
Who is ahead?on 8 measures
Estonia 4Level 0Iceland 4
Goals
Goals scored
0.91.7
Goals conceded
1.01.9
Play
Shots
8.211.9
Shots on target
3.34.7
Possession
40%47%
Corners
3.64.1
Cards
2.42.9
Trends
Clean sheets
40%30%
Both teams scored
20%70%
3 or more goals
40%80%
Won after scoring first
100%43%
When do the goals come?
Last 10EstoniaIceland
10–154
016–301
331–454
146–601
361–754
176–90+3
| Scored | First half | Second half |
|---|---|---|
| Estonia | 4goals | 5goals |
| Iceland | 9goals | 8goals |
Ringed bars mark each side’s busiest slices for scoring.
What do we expect from this match?
average of the last 10 gamesThis is not our analysis: the two sides’ averages over their recent games.
Our model’s expectation is for Pro membersBelow are the sides’ own recent averages.Pro
Goals
0.91.7
2.6 goals
Shots
8.211.9
20.1 shots
Shots on target
3.34.7
8.0 shots on target
Corners
3.64.1
7.7 corners
Cards
2.42.9
5.3 cards
Tick: the league’s average per team
Who is the referee, and what is the calendar?
Calendar
EstoniaLast: Luxembourg 1–0 (home) · 3 Oct · UEFA Nations LeagueNext: Luxembourg (away) · 13 Nov · UEFA Nations League · in 38 days
IcelandLast: Bulgaria 3–0 (home) · 3 Oct · UEFA Nations LeagueNext: Bulgaria (away) · 13 Nov · UEFA Nations League · in 38 days