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Match info
Kick-off
CompetitionUEFA Nations League
What do we expect from this match?
average of the last 10 gamesThis is not a forecast: the two sides’ averages over their recent games.
EstoniaLuxembourg
Our model’s expectation is for Pro membersBelow are the sides’ own recent averages.Pro
Goals
1.01.0
2.0 goals
Shots
7.69.7
17.3 shots
Shots on target
2.92.9
5.8 shots on target
Corners
3.43.3
6.7 corners
Cards
2.22.6
4.8 cards
Tick: the league’s average per team
Good to know
from recent games- 4 of Estonia’s last 6 games had 2 goals or fewer.
- Luxembourg are unbeaten in their last 4 league games away: 2 won, 2 drawn.Last defeat: Northern Ireland, 5 September
- 4 of Luxembourg’s last 6 games had 3 or more goals.
- 60% of Luxembourg’s goals came in the last 30 minutes.10 goals in the last 10 games, 6 after the 60th minute
- 50% of Estonia’s goals came in the last 30 minutes.10 goals in the last 10 games, 5 after the 60th minute
Which matches shall we look at?
Both sides’ last 10 games · every competitionWho is in form?
goals scoredgoals concededexpected goals (xG)
EstoniaLast 5 games0 W · 3 D · 2 L0.6 points a game1 scored · 5 conceded
- D
BulgariaA29 Sept00 - D
IcelandA26 Sept11 - L
SlovakiaA19 Nov01 - D
AzerbaijanA16 Nov00 - L
SwedenH14 Oct03
Last 9 at home: 3W 3D 3L
LuxembourgLast 5 games3 W · 1 D · 1 L2.0 points a game9 scored · 6 conceded
- LIcelandH29 Sept03
- WBulgariaA26 Sept21
- W
MaltaH31 Mar30 - WMaltaA26 Mar20
- D
Northern IrelandH18 Nov22
Last 10 away: 5W 3D 2L
When do the goals come?
Last 10▲ goals scored▼ goals concededEstoniaLuxembourg
00
02
0–1501
24
16–3041
51
31–4512
12
46–6034
31
61–7522
01
76–90+Estoniafirst 30 min 0% · last 30 min 50% · 10 scored · 11 conceded · 10 games
Luxembourgfirst 30 min 10% · last 30 min 60% · 10 scored · 11 conceded · 10 games
The two sides side by side
Last 10Tick: the league average.
EstoniaLuxembourgWho is ahead?on 7 measures
Estonia 2Level 4Luxembourg 1
Goals
Goals scored
1.01.0
Goals conceded
1.11.1
Play
Shots
7.69.7
Shots on target
2.92.9
Possession
40%58%
Corners
3.43.3
Cards
2.22.6
Trends
Clean sheets
30%30%
Both teams scored
30%30%
3 or more goals
50%40%
Won after scoring first
100%–
Who is the referee, and what is the calendar?
1 gamesPawel Raczkowski
CalendarEstonia3 days’ restLast: Bulgaria 0–0 (away) · 29 Sept · UEFA Nations LeagueNext: Iceland (home) · 6 Oct · UEFA Nations League · in 3 daysLuxembourg3 days’ restLast: Iceland 0–3 (home) · 29 Sept · UEFA Nations LeagueNext: Bulgaria (home) · 6 Oct · UEFA Nations League · in 3 days
Estonia3 days’ restLast: Bulgaria 0–0 (away) · 29 Sept · UEFA Nations LeagueNext: Iceland (home) · 6 Oct · UEFA Nations League · in 3 daysLuxembourg3 days’ restLast: Iceland 0–3 (home) · 29 Sept · UEFA Nations LeagueNext: Bulgaria (home) · 6 Oct · UEFA Nations League · in 3 days