How did our suggestions turn out?
SolidHit
Not both teams score in the first halfFirst half, both teams to score: no85%we said so
Score 0–0
Most likelyHit
Finland don’t win by 2+ goalsHandicap (Finland -2): Belarus65%we said so
Score 0–0
SurpriseMissed
Finland win, 3+ goalsFinland + over 2.534%we said so
Score 0–0
4 of 6 suggestions hit
Other strong options:Finland don’t win both halves79%No draw76%3 goals or fewer in the match76%
Who wins? · pre-match
61%Finland24%Draw15%Belarus
Result: a drawHow many goals?expected 2.5 · actual 0
012345+
2 goals or fewer 55% · 3 or more 45%Likeliest scores
1–015%2–013%1–111%
The match ended 0–0; before kick-off we gave this score 9%.Expectation and actual
ExpectedActual
Goals2.50Close
Corners9.310Hit
Scenario that happened“Draw, 2 goals or fewer” (before the match 20%, the 3rd likeliest scenario). The likeliest scenario, “Finland win, 3+ goals” (34%), did not happen.
How did the match go?
The chances we gave before the match; the one with the green frame happened.
Finland win 61%Draw 24%Belarus win 15%3+ goals3 or more goals · 45%2 goals or fewer2 goals or fewer · 55%
The chances we gave before the match; the green ones happened.
Who wins?
Finland win61%Match result: Finland · fair 1.64did not happen
Draw24%fair 4.18
Belarus win15%fair 6.66
Who avoids defeat?
Finland avoid defeat83%Double chance: Finland or draw · fair 1.21✓ happened
Belarus avoid defeat39%Double chance: draw or Belarus · fair 2.57✓ happened
No draw76%Double chance: Finland or Belarus · fair 1.31did not happen
Result and goals together
Finland win, 2+ goals47%Finland + over 1.5 · fair 2.14did not happen
Finland win, 3 goals or fewer44%Finland + under 3.5 · fair 2.27did not happen
Finland win, 3+ goals34%Finland + over 2.5 · fair 2.93did not happen
Finland win, not both teams score39%Finland + both teams to score: no · fair 2.54did not happen
By how many goals?
Finland avoid defeat82%Handicap (Finland +1): Finland · fair 1.22✓ happened
Finland don’t win by 2+ goals65%Handicap (Finland -2): Belarus · fair 1.54✓ happened
Belarus avoid defeat39%Handicap (Finland -1): Belarus · fair 2.59✓ happened
Finland win by 2+ goals35%Handicap (Finland -1): Finland · fair 2.84did not happen
How many goals in the match?
At most 1 goal in the match31%Total goals under 1.5 · fair 3.35✓ happened
2+ goals in the match70%Total goals over 1.5 · fair 1.43did not happen
2 goals or fewer in the match55%Total goals under 2.5 · fair 1.82✓ happened
3+ goals in the match45%Total goals over 2.5 · fair 2.21did not happen
3 goals or fewer in the match76%Total goals under 3.5 · fair 1.33✓ happened
4+ goals in the match24%fair 4.11
Do both teams score?
Both teams score43%Both teams to score: yes · fair 2.32did not happen
Not both teams score57%Both teams to score: no · fair 1.76✓ happened
How many goals do Finland score?
Finland fail to score20%fair 5.01
Finland score80%Finland goals over 0.5 · fair 1.29did not happen
Finland score at most 1 goal48%Finland goals under 1.5 · fair 2.11✓ happened
Finland score 2+ goals52%Finland goals over 1.5 · fair 1.90did not happen
Finland score 2 goals or fewer74%Finland goals under 2.5 · fair 1.35✓ happened
Finland score 3+ goals26%fair 3.88
How many goals do Belarus score?
Belarus fail to score48%Belarus goals under 0.5 · fair 2.07✓ happened
Belarus score52%Belarus goals over 0.5 · fair 1.93did not happen
Belarus score at most 1 goal83%Belarus goals under 1.5 · fair 1.20✓ happened
Belarus score 2+ goals17%fair 5.89
Which range do the goals fall in?
2–3 goals in the match47%Total goals 2-3 · fair 2.13did not happen
0–1 goals in the match31%Total goals 0-1 · fair 3.25✓ happened
Goals and both teams scoring
2 goals or fewer, not both teams score44%Under 2.5 + both teams to score: no · fair 2.27✓ happened
3+ goals, both teams score32%Over 2.5 + both teams to score: yes · fair 3.09did not happen
Who leads at half-time?
Finland lead at half-time44%Half-time result: Finland · fair 2.24did not happen
Level at half-time42%Half-time result: draw · fair 2.40✓ happened
Belarus lead at half-time14%fair 7.06
How many goals in the first half?
No goals in the first half33%First half goals under 0.5 · fair 2.97✓ happened
At least one goal in the first half67%First half goals over 0.5 · fair 1.51did not happen
At most 1 goal in the first half70%First half goals under 1.5 · fair 1.43✓ happened
2+ goals in the first half30%First half goals over 1.5 · fair 3.33did not happen
Do both teams score in the first half?
Both teams score in the first half15%fair 6.61
Not both teams score in the first half85%First half, both teams to score: no · fair 1.18✓ happened
Who wins the second half?
Finland win the second half48%Second half result: Finland · fair 2.07did not happen
Second half drawn36%Second half result: draw · fair 2.76✓ happened
Belarus win the second half15%fair 6.52
Which half has more goals?
More goals in the first half30%Higher-scoring half: first · fair 3.32did not happen
Same number of goals in each half27%fair 3.73
More goals in the second half43%Higher-scoring half: second · fair 2.32did not happen
Do Finland win both halves?
Finland win both halves21%fair 4.77
Finland don’t win both halves79%Finland win both halves: no · fair 1.27✓ happened
Half-time and full-time result
Finland lead at half-time, Finland win the match39%Half-time/full-time: Finland / Finland · fair 2.60did not happen
How many corners do Finland have?
Finland have 5 corners or fewer52%Finland corners under 5.5 · fair 1.93did not happen
Finland have 6+ corners48%Finland corners over 5.5 · fair 2.07✓ happened
How many corners do Belarus have?
Belarus have 3 corners or fewer52%Belarus corners under 3.5 · fair 1.91✓ happened
Belarus have 4+ corners48%Belarus corners over 3.5 · fair 2.10did not happen