How did our suggestions turn out?
Most likelyHit
4 cards or fewer in the matchTotal cards under 4.562%we said so
4 cards in the match
1 of 1 suggestions hit
Who wins? · pre-match
52%Georgia27%Draw21%Northern Ireland
Result: Northern Ireland wonHow many goals?expected 2.4 · actual 1
012345+
2 goals or fewer 57% · 3 or more 43%Likeliest scores
1–013%1–113%2–010%
The match ended 0–1; before kick-off we gave this score 8%.Expectation and actual
ExpectedActual
Goals2.41Hit
Cards4.04Hit
Corners9.210Hit
Scenario that happened“Northern Ireland win, 2 goals or fewer” (before the match 11%, the 4th likeliest scenario). The likeliest scenario, “Georgia win, 3+ goals” (28%), did not happen.
How did the match go?
The chances we gave before the match; the one with the green frame happened.
Georgia win 52%Draw 27%Northern Ireland win 21%3+ goals3 or more goals · 43%2 goals or fewer2 goals or fewer · 57%
The chances we gave before the match; the green ones happened.
Who wins?
Georgia win52%fair 1.93
Draw27%fair 3.73
Northern Ireland win21%fair 4.68
Who avoids defeat?
Georgia avoid defeat79%fair 1.27
Northern Ireland avoid defeat48%fair 2.08
No draw73%fair 1.37
How many cards in the match?
4 cards or fewer in the match62%Total cards under 4.5 · fair 1.61✓ happened
5+ cards in the match38%fair 2.64