How did our suggestions turn out?
SolidHit
Georgia score 2 goals or fewerGeorgia goals under 2.588%we said so
Georgia: 0 goals
Most likelyHit
Ukraine avoid defeatDouble chance: draw or Ukraine65%we said so
Score 0-0
SurpriseHit
DrawMatch result: draw31%we said so
Score 0-0
6 of 6 suggestions hit
Other strong options:Ukraine don’t win without conceding79%Georgia don’t win without conceding79%3 goals or fewer in the match77%
Who wins? · pre-match
35%Georgia31%Draw35%Ukraine
Result: a drawHow many goals?expected 2.4 · actual 0
012345+
2 goals or fewer 58% · 3 or more 42%Likeliest scores
1–114%1–010%0–110%
The match ended 0–0; before kick-off we gave this score 10%.Expectation and actual
ExpectedActual
Goals2.40Close
Cards5.26Hit
Corners9.04Close
Scenario that happened“Draw, 2 goals or fewer” (before the match 25%, the 1st likeliest scenario).
How did the match go?
The chances we gave before the match; the one with the green frame happened.
Georgia win 35%Draw 31%Ukraine win 35%3+ goals3 or more goals · 42%2 goals or fewer2 goals or fewer · 58%
The chances we gave before the match; the green ones happened.
Who wins?
Georgia win35%Match result: Georgia · fair 2.88did not happen
Draw31%Match result: draw · fair 3.26✓ happened
Ukraine win35%Match result: Ukraine · fair 2.89did not happen
Who avoids defeat?
Georgia avoid defeat65%Double chance: Georgia or draw · fair 1.53✓ happened
Ukraine avoid defeat65%Double chance: draw or Ukraine · fair 1.53✓ happened
No draw69%Double chance: Georgia or Ukraine · fair 1.44did not happen
Do Georgia win without conceding?
Georgia win without conceding21%fair 4.75
Georgia don’t win without conceding79%Georgia win to nil: no · fair 1.27✓ happened
Do Ukraine win without conceding?
Ukraine win without conceding21%fair 4.84
Ukraine don’t win without conceding79%Ukraine win to nil: no · fair 1.26✓ happened
By how many goals?
Georgia don’t win by 2+ goals85%Handicap (Georgia -2): Ukraine · fair 1.18✓ happened
Georgia avoid defeat64%Handicap (Georgia +1): Georgia · fair 1.57✓ happened
Ukraine avoid defeat64%Handicap (Georgia -1): Ukraine · fair 1.57✓ happened
How many goals in the match?
At most 1 goal in the match31%Total goals under 1.5 · fair 3.27✓ happened
2+ goals in the match69%Total goals over 1.5 · fair 1.44did not happen
2 goals or fewer in the match57%Total goals under 2.5 · fair 1.77✓ happened
3+ goals in the match43%Total goals over 2.5 · fair 2.30did not happen
3 goals or fewer in the match77%Total goals under 3.5 · fair 1.31✓ happened
4+ goals in the match23%fair 4.38
Do both teams score?
Both teams score49%Both teams to score: yes · fair 2.05did not happen
Not both teams score51%Both teams to score: no · fair 1.96✓ happened
How many goals do Georgia score?
Georgia fail to score30%fair 3.36
Georgia score70%Georgia goals over 0.5 · fair 1.42did not happen
Georgia score at most 1 goal66%Georgia goals under 1.5 · fair 1.51✓ happened
Georgia score 2+ goals34%Georgia goals over 1.5 · fair 2.97did not happen
Georgia score 2 goals or fewer88%Georgia goals under 2.5 · fair 1.14✓ happened
Georgia score 3+ goals12%fair 8.26
How many goals do Ukraine score?
Ukraine fail to score29%fair 3.40
Ukraine score71%Ukraine goals over 0.5 · fair 1.40did not happen
Ukraine score at most 1 goal66%Ukraine goals under 1.5 · fair 1.53✓ happened
Ukraine score 2+ goals34%Ukraine goals over 1.5 · fair 2.89did not happen
Which range do the goals fall in?
2–3 goals in the match47%Total goals 2-3 · fair 2.13did not happen
0–1 goals in the match31%Total goals 0-1 · fair 3.25✓ happened
Odd or even number of goals?
Odd number of goals50%Total goals odd · fair 2.01did not happen
Even number of goals50%Total goals even · fair 1.99✓ happened
Goals and both teams scoring
2 goals or fewer, not both teams score44%Under 2.5 + both teams to score: no · fair 2.28✓ happened
3+ goals, both teams score36%Over 2.5 + both teams to score: yes · fair 2.79did not happen
Who leads at half-time?
Level at half-time45%Half-time result: draw · fair 2.24✓ happened
How many goals in the first half?
No goals in the first half34%First half goals under 0.5 · fair 2.90✓ happened
At least one goal in the first half66%First half goals over 0.5 · fair 1.53did not happen
At most 1 goal in the first half71%First half goals under 1.5 · fair 1.41✓ happened
2+ goals in the first half30%First half goals over 1.5 · fair 3.43did not happen
Do both teams score in the first half?
Both teams score in the first half17%fair 5.83
Not both teams score in the first half83%First half, both teams to score: no · fair 1.21✓ happened
Who wins the second half?
Georgia win the second half30%Second half result: Georgia · fair 3.30did not happen
Second half drawn39%Second half result: draw · fair 2.54✓ happened
Ukraine win the second half30%Second half result: Ukraine · fair 3.31did not happen
Which half has more goals?
More goals in the first half30%Higher-scoring half: first · fair 3.33did not happen
Same number of goals in each half27%fair 3.67
More goals in the second half43%Higher-scoring half: second · fair 2.34did not happen
Do Georgia win at least one half?
Georgia win at least one half50%Georgia win either half: yes · fair 2.02did not happen
Georgia win neither half50%Georgia win either half: no · fair 1.98✓ happened
Do Ukraine win at least one half?
Ukraine win at least one half49%Ukraine win either half: yes · fair 2.02did not happen
Ukraine win neither half51%Ukraine win either half: no · fair 1.98✓ happened
How many corners do Georgia have?
Georgia have 4 corners or fewer51%Georgia corners under 4.5 · fair 1.96✓ happened
Georgia have 5+ corners49%Georgia corners over 4.5 · fair 2.04did not happen
How many corners do Ukraine have?
Ukraine have 4 corners or fewer53%Ukraine corners under 4.5 · fair 1.90✓ happened
Ukraine have 5+ corners47%Ukraine corners over 4.5 · fair 2.12did not happen
How many cards in the match?
3 cards or fewer in the match26%fair 3.90
4+ cards in the match74%Total cards over 3.5 · fair 1.35✓ happened
4 cards or fewer in the match44%Total cards under 4.5 · fair 2.27did not happen
5+ cards in the match56%Total cards over 4.5 · fair 1.78✓ happened
5 cards or fewer in the match59%Total cards under 5.5 · fair 1.69did not happen
6+ cards in the match41%Total cards over 5.5 · fair 2.46✓ happened
How many shots on target in the match?
7 shots on target or fewer in the match50%fair 1.98
8+ shots on target in the match50%Total shots on target over 7.5 · fair 2.02did not happen
8 shots on target or fewer in the match62%fair 1.62
9+ shots on target in the match38%Total shots on target over 8.5 · fair 2.60did not happen
How many shots on target do Georgia have?
Georgia have 3 shots on target or fewer49%fair 2.06
Georgia have 4+ shots on target51%Georgia shots on target over 3.5 · fair 1.94✓ happened
Georgia have 4 shots on target or fewer65%fair 1.55
Georgia have 5+ shots on target35%Georgia shots on target over 4.5 · fair 2.82✓ happened
How many shots on target do Ukraine have?
Ukraine have 3 shots on target or fewer47%fair 2.12
Ukraine have 4+ shots on target53%Ukraine shots on target over 3.5 · fair 1.90did not happen
Ukraine have 4 shots on target or fewer64%fair 1.57
Ukraine have 5+ shots on target36%Ukraine shots on target over 4.5 · fair 2.76did not happen