How did our suggestions turn out?
SolidHit
Gibraltar score at most 1 goalGibraltar goals under 1.584%we said so
Gibraltar: 0 goals
Most likelyMissed
Andorra scoreAndorra goals over 0.562%we said so
Andorra: 0 goals
SurpriseHit
Draw, 2 goals or fewerDraw + under 2.532%we said so
Score 0–0
5 of 6 suggestions hit
Other strong options:2 goals or fewer in the match76%Andorra avoid defeat75%Not both teams score68%
Who wins? · pre-match
25%Gibraltar37%Draw39%Andorra
Result: a drawHow many goals?expected 1.7 · actual 0
012345+
2 goals or fewer 77% · 3 or more 23%Likeliest scores
0–020%0–117%1–114%
The match ended 0–0; before kick-off we gave this score 20%.Why did our pick miss?
We said “Andorra score”; the match had 0 goals, and we expected 1.7.
Expectation and actual
ExpectedActual
Goals1.70Close
Corners8.48Hit
Scenario that happened“Draw, 2 goals or fewer” (before the match 34%, the 1st likeliest scenario).
How did the match go?
The chances we gave before the match; the one with the green frame happened.
Gibraltar win 25%Draw 37%Andorra win 39%3+ goals3 or more goals · 23%2 goals or fewer2 goals or fewer · 77%
The chances we gave before the match; the green ones happened.
Who wins?
Gibraltar win25%fair 4.06
Draw37%Match result: draw · fair 2.74✓ happened
Andorra win39%Match result: Andorra · fair 2.57did not happen
Who avoids defeat?
Gibraltar avoid defeat61%Double chance: Gibraltar or draw · fair 1.64✓ happened
Andorra avoid defeat75%Double chance: draw or Andorra · fair 1.33✓ happened
No draw64%Double chance: Gibraltar or Andorra · fair 1.57did not happen
Result and goals together
Andorra win, 3 goals or fewer36%Andorra + under 3.5 · fair 2.80did not happen
Draw, 2 goals or fewer32%Draw + under 2.5 · fair 3.17✓ happened
Draw, 3 goals or fewer32%Draw + under 3.5 · fair 3.17✓ happened
Andorra win, not both teams score30%Andorra + both teams to score: no · fair 3.30did not happen
By how many goals?
Andorra avoid defeat74%Handicap (Gibraltar -1): Andorra · fair 1.35✓ happened
Gibraltar avoid defeat60%Handicap (Gibraltar +1): Gibraltar · fair 1.67✓ happened
How many goals in the match?
At most 1 goal in the match50%Total goals under 1.5 · fair 1.99✓ happened
2+ goals in the match50%Total goals over 1.5 · fair 2.01did not happen
2 goals or fewer in the match76%Total goals under 2.5 · fair 1.32✓ happened
3+ goals in the match24%fair 4.16
Do both teams score?
Both teams score32%Both teams to score: yes · fair 3.17did not happen
Not both teams score68%Both teams to score: no · fair 1.46✓ happened
How many goals do Gibraltar score?
Gibraltar fail to score49%Gibraltar goals under 0.5 · fair 2.03✓ happened
Gibraltar score51%Gibraltar goals over 0.5 · fair 1.97did not happen
Gibraltar score at most 1 goal84%Gibraltar goals under 1.5 · fair 1.19✓ happened
Gibraltar score 2+ goals16%fair 6.23
How many goals do Andorra score?
Andorra fail to score38%Andorra goals under 0.5 · fair 2.63✓ happened
Andorra score62%Andorra goals over 0.5 · fair 1.61did not happen
Andorra score at most 1 goal75%Andorra goals under 1.5 · fair 1.33✓ happened
Andorra score 2+ goals25%fair 3.99
Which range do the goals fall in?
0–1 goals in the match50%Total goals 0-1 · fair 2.00✓ happened
2–3 goals in the match41%Total goals 2-3 · fair 2.44did not happen
Odd or even number of goals?
Odd number of goals49%Total goals odd · fair 2.05did not happen
Even number of goals51%Total goals even · fair 1.95✓ happened
Goals and both teams scoring
2 goals or fewer, not both teams score63%Under 2.5 + both teams to score: no · fair 1.58✓ happened
Who leads at half-time?
Level at half-time54%Half-time result: draw · fair 1.83✓ happened
How many goals in the first half?
No goals in the first half48%First half goals under 0.5 · fair 2.05✓ happened
At least one goal in the first half52%First half goals over 0.5 · fair 1.95did not happen
At most 1 goal in the first half83%First half goals under 1.5 · fair 1.21✓ happened
2+ goals in the first half17%fair 5.81
Who wins the second half?
Gibraltar win the second half21%fair 4.74
Second half drawn48%Second half result: draw · fair 2.07✓ happened
Andorra win the second half31%Second half result: Andorra · fair 3.26did not happen
Which half has more goals?
More goals in the first half28%fair 3.60
Same number of goals in each half34%Higher-scoring half: equal · fair 2.93✓ happened
More goals in the second half38%Higher-scoring half: second · fair 2.62did not happen
How many corners do Gibraltar have?
Gibraltar have 3 corners or fewer51%Gibraltar corners under 3.5 · fair 1.96did not happen
Gibraltar have 4+ corners49%Gibraltar corners over 3.5 · fair 2.04✓ happened
How many corners do Andorra have?
Andorra have 4 corners or fewer54%Andorra corners under 4.5 · fair 1.84✓ happened
Andorra have 5+ corners46%Andorra corners over 4.5 · fair 2.19did not happen