How did our suggestions turn out?
Most likelyMissed
10 corners or fewer in the matchTotal corners under 10.561%we said so
12 corners in the match
0 of 1 suggestions hit
Who wins? · pre-match
43%Italy27%Draw30%Belgium
Result: Belgium wonHow many goals?expected 2.8 · actual 2
012345+
2 goals or fewer 48% · 3 or more 52%Likeliest scores
1–113%1–09%2–19%
The match ended 0–2; before kick-off we gave this score 5%.Why did our pick miss?
We said “10 corners or fewer in the match”; the match had 12 corners, and we expected 9.8.
Expectation and actual
ExpectedActual
Goals2.82Hit
Cards3.68Far off
Corners9.812Hit
Scenario that happened“Belgium win, 2 goals or fewer” (before the match 12%, the 5th likeliest scenario). The likeliest scenario, “Italy win, 3+ goals” (26%), did not happen.
How did the match go?
The chances we gave before the match; the one with the green frame happened.
Italy win 43%Draw 27%Belgium win 30%3+ goals3 or more goals · 52%2 goals or fewer2 goals or fewer · 48%
The chances we gave before the match; the green ones happened.
Who wins?
Italy win43%fair 2.34
Draw27%fair 3.68
Belgium win30%fair 3.32
Who avoids defeat?
Italy avoid defeat70%fair 1.43
Belgium avoid defeat57%fair 1.74
No draw73%fair 1.37