How did our suggestions turn out?
SolidHit
Not both teams score in the first halfFirst half, both teams to score: no84%we said so
Score 0–0
Most likelyMissed
At least one goal in the first halfFirst half goals over 0.563%we said so
Score 0–0
SurpriseHit
DrawMatch result: draw32%we said so
Score 0-0
4 of 6 suggestions hit
Other strong options:Cyprus score at most 1 goal71%Latvia score at most 1 goal69%No draw68%
Who wins? · pre-match
35%Latvia32%Draw33%Cyprus
Result: a drawHow many goals?expected 2.2 · actual 0
012345+
2 goals or fewer 63% · 3 or more 37%Likeliest scores
1–115%0–012%1–012%
The match ended 0–0; before kick-off we gave this score 12%.Why did our pick miss?
We said “At least one goal in the first half”; the match had 0 goals, and we expected 2.2.
Expectation and actual
ExpectedActual
Goals2.20Close
Corners9.115Close
Scenario that happened“Draw, 2 goals or fewer” (before the match 27%, the 1st likeliest scenario).
How did the match go?
The chances we gave before the match; the one with the green frame happened.
Latvia win 35%Draw 32%Cyprus win 33%3+ goals3 or more goals · 37%2 goals or fewer2 goals or fewer · 63%
The chances we gave before the match; the green ones happened.
Who wins?
Latvia win35%Match result: Latvia · fair 2.83did not happen
Draw32%Match result: draw · fair 3.12✓ happened
Cyprus win33%Match result: Cyprus · fair 3.08did not happen
Who avoids defeat?
Latvia avoid defeat67%Double chance: Latvia or draw · fair 1.48✓ happened
Cyprus avoid defeat65%Double chance: draw or Cyprus · fair 1.55✓ happened
No draw68%Double chance: Latvia or Cyprus · fair 1.47did not happen
By how many goals?
Latvia avoid defeat66%Handicap (Latvia +1): Latvia · fair 1.52✓ happened
Cyprus avoid defeat63%Handicap (Latvia -1): Cyprus · fair 1.59✓ happened
How many goals in the match?
At most 1 goal in the match35%Total goals under 1.5 · fair 2.91✓ happened
2+ goals in the match65%Total goals over 1.5 · fair 1.52did not happen
2 goals or fewer in the match62%Total goals under 2.5 · fair 1.63✓ happened
3+ goals in the match38%Total goals over 2.5 · fair 2.59did not happen
3 goals or fewer in the match81%Total goals under 3.5 · fair 1.25✓ happened
4+ goals in the match19%fair 5.21
Do both teams score?
Both teams score45%Both teams to score: yes · fair 2.23did not happen
Not both teams score55%Both teams to score: no · fair 1.81✓ happened
How many goals do Latvia score?
Latvia fail to score32%Latvia goals under 0.5 · fair 3.18✓ happened
Latvia score68%Latvia goals over 0.5 · fair 1.46did not happen
Latvia score at most 1 goal69%Latvia goals under 1.5 · fair 1.46✓ happened
Latvia score 2+ goals31%Latvia goals over 1.5 · fair 3.18did not happen
How many goals do Cyprus score?
Cyprus fail to score34%Cyprus goals under 0.5 · fair 3.00✓ happened
Cyprus score66%Cyprus goals over 0.5 · fair 1.50did not happen
Cyprus score at most 1 goal71%Cyprus goals under 1.5 · fair 1.42✓ happened
Cyprus score 2+ goals31%Cyprus goals over 1.5 · fair 3.40did not happen
Which range do the goals fall in?
2–3 goals in the match47%Total goals 2-3 · fair 2.15did not happen
0–1 goals in the match35%Total goals 0-1 · fair 2.85✓ happened
Odd or even number of goals?
Odd number of goals50%Total goals odd · fair 2.02did not happen
Even number of goals50%Total goals even · fair 1.98✓ happened
Goals and both teams scoring
2 goals or fewer, not both teams score48%Under 2.5 + both teams to score: no · fair 2.06✓ happened
3+ goals, both teams score31%Over 2.5 + both teams to score: yes · fair 3.18did not happen
Who leads at half-time?
Level at half-time47%Half-time result: draw · fair 2.13✓ happened
How many goals in the first half?
No goals in the first half37%First half goals under 0.5 · fair 2.67✓ happened
At least one goal in the first half63%First half goals over 0.5 · fair 1.60did not happen
At most 1 goal in the first half72%First half goals under 1.5 · fair 1.41✓ happened
2+ goals in the first half28%fair 3.63
Do both teams score in the first half?
Both teams score in the first half16%fair 6.23
Not both teams score in the first half84%First half, both teams to score: no · fair 1.19✓ happened
Who wins the second half?
Latvia win the second half30%Second half result: Latvia · fair 3.30did not happen
Second half drawn41%Second half result: draw · fair 2.42✓ happened
Cyprus win the second half28%fair 3.53
Which half has more goals?
More goals in the second half42%Higher-scoring half: second · fair 2.40did not happen
How many corners do Latvia have?
Latvia have 4 corners or fewer52%Latvia corners under 4.5 · fair 1.91✓ happened
Latvia have 5+ corners48%Latvia corners over 4.5 · fair 2.10did not happen
How many corners do Cyprus have?
Cyprus have 4 corners or fewer54%Cyprus corners under 4.5 · fair 1.85did not happen
Cyprus have 5+ corners46%Cyprus corners over 4.5 · fair 2.18✓ happened