How did our suggestions turn out?
SolidHit
3 goals or fewer in the matchTotal goals under 3.583%we said so
2 goals in the match
Most likelyHit
At least one goal in the first halfFirst half goals over 0.558%we said so
Score 1–1
SurpriseHit
DrawMatch result: draw33%we said so
Score 1-1
5 of 6 suggestions hit
Other strong options:Lithuania avoid defeat74%Lithuania score at most 1 goal70%Not both teams score63%
Who wins? · pre-match
41%Lithuania33%Draw26%Azerbaijan
Result: a drawHow many goals?expected 1.9 · actual 2
012345+
2 goals or fewer 70% · 3 or more 30%Likeliest scores
1–016%0–015%1–114%
The match ended 1–1; before kick-off we gave this score 14%.Expectation and actual
ExpectedActual
Goals1.92Hit
Corners8.82Far off
Scenario that happened“Draw, 2 goals or fewer” (before the match 29%, the 1st likeliest scenario).
How did the match go?
The chances we gave before the match; the one with the green frame happened.
Lithuania win 41%Draw 33%Azerbaijan win 26%3+ goals3 or more goals · 30%2 goals or fewer2 goals or fewer · 70%
The chances we gave before the match; the green ones happened.
Who wins?
Lithuania win41%Match result: Lithuania · fair 2.45did not happen
Draw33%Match result: draw · fair 3.03✓ happened
Azerbaijan win31%Match result: Azerbaijan · fair 3.23did not happen
Who avoids defeat?
Lithuania avoid defeat74%Double chance: Lithuania or draw · fair 1.35✓ happened
Azerbaijan avoid defeat59%Double chance: draw or Azerbaijan · fair 1.69✓ happened
No draw67%Double chance: Lithuania or Azerbaijan · fair 1.49did not happen
Result and goals together
Lithuania win, 3 goals or fewer35%Lithuania + under 3.5 · fair 2.82did not happen
By how many goals?
Lithuania don’t win by 2+ goals83%Handicap (Lithuania -2): Azerbaijan · fair 1.21✓ happened
Lithuania avoid defeat73%Handicap (Lithuania +1): Lithuania · fair 1.37✓ happened
Azerbaijan avoid defeat58%Handicap (Lithuania -1): Azerbaijan · fair 1.72✓ happened
How many goals in the match?
At most 1 goal in the match43%Total goals under 1.5 · fair 2.34did not happen
2+ goals in the match57%Total goals over 1.5 · fair 1.75✓ happened
2 goals or fewer in the match70%Total goals under 2.5 · fair 1.43✓ happened
3+ goals in the match30%Total goals over 2.5 · fair 3.30did not happen
3 goals or fewer in the match83%Total goals under 3.5 · fair 1.21✓ happened
4+ goals in the match17%fair 5.76
Do both teams score?
Both teams score37%Both teams to score: yes · fair 2.67✓ happened
Not both teams score63%Both teams to score: no · fair 1.60did not happen
How many goals do Lithuania score?
Lithuania fail to score33%Lithuania goals under 0.5 · fair 3.00did not happen
Lithuania score67%Lithuania goals over 0.5 · fair 1.50✓ happened
Lithuania score at most 1 goal70%Lithuania goals under 1.5 · fair 1.43✓ happened
Lithuania score 2+ goals30%Lithuania goals over 1.5 · fair 3.32did not happen
How many goals do Azerbaijan score?
Azerbaijan fail to score44%Azerbaijan goals under 0.5 · fair 2.28did not happen
Azerbaijan score56%Azerbaijan goals over 0.5 · fair 1.78✓ happened
Azerbaijan score at most 1 goal80%Azerbaijan goals under 1.5 · fair 1.25✓ happened
Azerbaijan score 2+ goals20%fair 5.01
Which range do the goals fall in?
2–3 goals in the match44%Total goals 2-3 · fair 2.25✓ happened
0–1 goals in the match43%Total goals 0-1 · fair 2.34did not happen
Odd or even number of goals?
Odd number of goals49%Total goals odd · fair 2.03did not happen
Even number of goals51%Total goals even · fair 1.97✓ happened
Goals and both teams scoring
2 goals or fewer, not both teams score56%Under 2.5 + both teams to score: no · fair 1.77did not happen
3+ goals, both teams score30%Over 2.5 + both teams to score: yes · fair 3.32did not happen
Who leads at half-time?
Level at half-time50%Half-time result: draw · fair 1.98✓ happened
How many goals in the first half?
No goals in the first half42%First half goals under 0.5 · fair 2.35did not happen
At least one goal in the first half58%First half goals over 0.5 · fair 1.74✓ happened
At most 1 goal in the first half79%First half goals under 1.5 · fair 1.27did not happen
2+ goals in the first half21%fair 4.73
Who wins the second half?
Lithuania win the second half33%Second half result: Lithuania · fair 3.06did not happen
Second half drawn45%Second half result: draw · fair 2.24✓ happened
Azerbaijan win the second half23%fair 4.42
Which half has more goals?
More goals in the first half29%fair 3.48
Same number of goals in each half31%Higher-scoring half: equal · fair 3.19did not happen
More goals in the second half40%Higher-scoring half: second · fair 2.50did not happen
How many corners do Lithuania have?
Lithuania have 4 corners or fewer50%Lithuania corners under 4.5 · fair 1.99✓ happened
Lithuania have 5+ corners50%Lithuania corners over 4.5 · fair 2.01did not happen
How many corners do Azerbaijan have?
Azerbaijan have 3 corners or fewer47%Azerbaijan corners under 3.5 · fair 2.14✓ happened
Azerbaijan have 4+ corners53%Azerbaijan corners over 3.5 · fair 1.88did not happen