Luxembourg are favourites at home: 47% to win, Bulgaria 25%.
Which matches shall we look at?
Both sides’ last 10 games · every competitionWho is in form?
goals scoredgoals concededexpected goals (xG)
3 W · 0 D · 2 L1.8 points a game7 scored · 5 conceded
- L
EstoniaA3 Oct01 - L
IcelandH29 Sept03 - W
BulgariaA26 Sept21 - W
MaltaH31 Mar30 - W
MaltaA26 Mar20
Last 9 at home: 2W 3D 4L
0 W · 1 D · 4 L0.2 points a game3 scored · 9 conceded
- L
IcelandA3 Oct03 - D
EstoniaH29 Sept00 - L
LuxembourgH26 Sept12 - L
Republic of IrelandA23 Mar12 - L
Republic of IrelandH20 Mar12
Last 9 away: 2W 4D 3L
The two sides side by side
Last 10Tick: the league average.
Who is ahead?on 7 measures
Luxembourg 5Level 1Bulgaria 1
Goals
Goals scored
1.00.6
Goals conceded
1.01.5
Play
Shots
9.98.8
Shots on target
3.13.1
Possession
57%51%
Corners
3.43.0
Cards
3.03.3
Trends
Clean sheets
30%40%
Both teams scored
30%40%
3 or more goals
40%50%
Won after scoring first
–33%
Head to head
last 3 meetingsLuxembourg 1Drawn 1Bulgaria 1
- 26 Sept 2026Bulgaria1 – 2LuxembourgW
- 15 Nov 2024Luxembourg0 – 1BulgariaL
- 12 Oct 2024Bulgaria0 – 0LuxembourgD
Goals a game1.3
Both scored33%
3 or more goals33%
When do the goals come?
Last 10LuxembourgBulgaria
00–152
116–303
131–451
246–600
461–750
276–90+0
| Scored | First half | Second half |
|---|---|---|
| Luxembourg | 2goals | 8goals |
| Bulgaria | 6goals | 0goals |
Ringed bars mark each side’s busiest slices for scoring.
What do we expect from this match?
average of the last 10 gamesThis is not our analysis: the two sides’ averages over their recent games.
Goals
1.00.6
1.6 goals
Shots
9.98.8
18.7 shots
Shots on target
3.13.1
6.2 shots on target
Corners
3.43.0
6.4 corners
Cards
3.03.3
6.3 cards
Tick: the league’s average per team
Who is the referee, and what is the calendar?
Calendar
LuxembourgLast: Estonia 1–0 (away) · 3 Oct · UEFA Nations LeagueNext: Estonia (home) · 13 Nov · UEFA Nations League · in 38 days
BulgariaLast: Iceland 3–0 (away) · 3 Oct · UEFA Nations LeagueNext: Iceland (home) · 13 Nov · UEFA Nations League · in 38 days