Which matches shall we look at?
Both sides’ last 10 games · every competitionWho is in form?
goals scoredgoals concededexpected goals (xG)
Northern IrelandLast 5 games3 W · 2 D · 0 L2.2 points a game8 scored · 2 conceded
- W
UkraineA2 Oct30 - D
HungaryH28 Sept00 - W
GeorgiaA25 Sept10 - D
LuxembourgA18 Nov22 - W
BelarusH15 Nov20
Last 10 at home: 4W 3D 3L
GeorgiaLast 5 games2 W · 1 D · 2 L1.4 points a game9 scored · 3 conceded
- LHungaryA2 Oct01
- DUkraineH28 Sept00
- LNorthern IrelandH25 Sept01
- W
ArmeniaH23 Mar61 - WArmeniaA20 Mar30
Last 9 away: 5W 1D 3L
The two sides side by side
Last 10Tick: the league average.
Northern IrelandGeorgiaWho is ahead?on 8 measures
Northern Ireland 3Level 0Georgia 5
Goals
Goals scored
1.61.2
Goals conceded
0.60.8
Play
Shots
10.213.2
Shots on target
4.04.4
Possession
44%59%
Corners
4.66.0
Cards
2.22.1
Trends
Clean sheets
70%30%
Both teams scored
20%30%
3 or more goals
40%30%
Won after scoring first
83%100%
When do the goals come?
Last 10▲ goals scored▼ goals concededNorthern IrelandGeorgia
32
12
0–1552
01
16–3013
12
31–4522
12
46–6022
20
61–7531
11
76–90+Northern Irelandfirst 30 min 50% · last 30 min 31% · 16 scored · 6 conceded · 10 games
Georgiafirst 30 min 33% · last 30 min 25% · 12 scored · 8 conceded · 10 games
What do we expect from this match?
average of the last 10 gamesThis is not a forecast: the two sides’ averages over their recent games.
Northern IrelandGeorgiaOur model’s expectation is for Pro membersBelow are the sides’ own recent averages.Pro
Goals
1.61.2
2.8 goals
Shots
10.213.2
23.4 shots
Shots on target
4.04.4
8.4 shots on target
Corners
4.66.0
10.6 corners
Cards
2.22.1
4.3 cards
Tick: the league’s average per team
Who is the referee, and what is the calendar?
11 gamesSebastian GishamerShows fewer cards than the league’s average
3.0Yellow cards a gameleague 4.4
0.00Red cards a gameleague 0.15
0.36Penalties a gameleague 0.25
42%of his cards after the 75th minuteleague 32%
CalendarNorthern Ireland3 days’ restLast: Ukraine 0–3 (away) · 2 Oct · UEFA Nations LeagueNext: Ukraine (home) · 14 Nov · UEFA Nations League · in 40 daysGeorgia3 days’ restLast: Hungary 1–0 (away) · 2 Oct · UEFA Nations LeagueNext: Hungary (home) · 14 Nov · UEFA Nations League · in 40 days
Northern Ireland3 days’ restLast: Ukraine 0–3 (away) · 2 Oct · UEFA Nations LeagueNext: Ukraine (home) · 14 Nov · UEFA Nations League · in 40 daysGeorgia3 days’ restLast: Hungary 1–0 (away) · 2 Oct · UEFA Nations LeagueNext: Hungary (home) · 14 Nov · UEFA Nations League · in 40 days