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Match info
Kick-off
CompetitionUEFA Nations League
What do we expect from this match?
average of the last 10 gamesThis is not a forecast: the two sides’ averages over their recent games.
Our model’s expectation is for Pro membersBelow are the sides’ own recent averages.Pro
Goals
2.22.0
4.2 goals
Shots
14.915.2
30.1 shots
Shots on target
5.45.7
11.1 shots on target
Corners
6.25.9
12.1 corners
Cards
2.61.2
3.8 cards
Tick: the league’s average per team
Good to know
from recent games- 5 of Portugal’s last 6 games had 3 or more goals.
- Portugal are unbeaten in their last 6 league games at home: 5 won, 1 drawn.Last defeat: Spain, 27 September
- 6 of Norway’s last 6 games had 3 or more goals.
- 59% of Portugal’s goals came in the last 30 minutes.22 goals in the last 10 games, 13 after the 60th minute
- Portugal won 5 of the 6 games in which they scored first.Last 9 games
- Portugal won their last meeting 2-1 away (27 September).
Which matches shall we look at?
Both sides’ last 10 games · every competitionWho is in form?
goals scoredgoals concededexpected goals (xG)
4 W · 1 D · 0 L2.6 points a game11 scored · 6 conceded
- W
DenmarkA1 Oct42 - W
NorwayA27 Sept21 - W
WalesH24 Sept10 - D
SpainH8 Jun22 - W
GermanyA4 Jun21
Last 9 at home: 7W 1D 1L
3 W · 0 D · 2 L1.8 points a game14 scored · 7 conceded
- L
WalesA1 Oct12 - L
PortugalH27 Sept12 - W
DenmarkH24 Sept32 - W
KazakhstanH17 Nov50 - W
SloveniaA14 Nov41
Last 10 away: 4W 2D 4L
When do the goals come?
Last 10▲ goals scored▼ goals concededPortugalNorway
15
01
0–1542
23
16–3024
13
31–4523
46
46–6063
12
61–7573
30
76–90+Portugalfirst 30 min 23% · last 30 min 59% · 22 scored · 11 conceded · 10 games
Norwayfirst 30 min 35% · last 30 min 30% · 20 scored · 15 conceded · 10 games
The two sides side by side
Last 10Tick: the league average.
Who is ahead?on 8 measures
Portugal 3Level 1Norway 4
Goals
Goals scored
2.22.0
Goals conceded
1.11.5
Play
Shots
14.915.2
Shots on target
5.45.7
Possession
54%52%
Corners
6.25.9
Cards
2.61.2
Trends
Clean sheets
20%30%
Both teams scored
70%60%
3 or more goals
60%80%
Won after scoring first
83%83%
Who is the referee, and what is the calendar?
18 gamesMaurizio Mariani
1 games with Portugal: 1 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost
4.2Yellow cards a gameleague 4.4
0.11Red cards a gameleague 0.15
Calendar
Portugal3 days’ restLast: Denmark 2–4 (away) · 1 Oct · UEFA Nations LeagueNext: Denmark (home) · 14 Nov · UEFA Nations League · in 41 days
Norway3 days’ restLast: Wales 2–1 (away) · 1 Oct · UEFA Nations LeagueNext: Wales (home) · 14 Nov · UEFA Nations League · in 41 days