How did our suggestions turn out?
SolidMissed
Switzerland don’t win both halvesSwitzerland win both halves: no85%we said so
Score 0–3
Most likelyHit
Switzerland win at least one halfSwitzerland win either half: yes63%we said so
Score 0–3
SurpriseHit
Switzerland win, 2+ goalsSwitzerland + over 1.538%we said so
Score 0–3
4 of 6 suggestions hit
Other strong options:Switzerland score 2 goals or fewer80%Switzerland avoid defeat79%3 goals or fewer in the match77%
Who wins? · pre-match
21%Scotland28%Draw51%Switzerland
Result: Switzerland wonHow many goals?expected 2.4 · actual 3
012345+
2 goals or fewer 58% · 3 or more 42%Likeliest scores
0–113%1–113%0–210%
The match ended 0–3; before kick-off we gave this score 5%.Expectation and actual
ExpectedActual
Goals2.43Hit
Cards4.32Close
Corners9.08Hit
Scenario that happened“Switzerland win, 3+ goals” (before the match 27%, the 1st likeliest scenario).
How did the match go?
The chances we gave before the match; the one with the green frame happened.
Scotland win 21%Draw 28%Switzerland win 51%3+ goals3 or more goals · 42%2 goals or fewer2 goals or fewer · 58%
The chances we gave before the match; the green ones happened.
Who wins?
Scotland win21%fair 4.70
Draw28%fair 3.61
Switzerland win51%Match result: Switzerland · fair 1.96✓ happened
Who avoids defeat?
Scotland avoid defeat49%Double chance: Scotland or draw · fair 2.04did not happen
Switzerland avoid defeat79%Double chance: draw or Switzerland · fair 1.27✓ happened
No draw72%Double chance: Scotland or Switzerland · fair 1.38✓ happened
Do Switzerland win without conceding?
Switzerland win without conceding32%Switzerland win to nil: yes · fair 3.12✓ happened
Switzerland don’t win without conceding68%Switzerland win to nil: no · fair 1.47did not happen
Result and goals together
Switzerland win, 3 goals or fewer38%Switzerland + under 3.5 · fair 2.60✓ happened
Switzerland win, 2+ goals38%Switzerland + over 1.5 · fair 2.63✓ happened
Switzerland win, not both teams score32%Switzerland + both teams to score: no · fair 3.12✓ happened
By how many goals?
Switzerland avoid defeat78%Handicap (Scotland -1): Switzerland · fair 1.29✓ happened
Switzerland don’t win by 2+ goals73%Handicap (Scotland +2): Scotland · fair 1.36did not happen
Scotland avoid defeat48%Handicap (Scotland +1): Scotland · fair 2.07did not happen
How many goals in the match?
At most 1 goal in the match31%Total goals under 1.5 · fair 3.19did not happen
2+ goals in the match69%Total goals over 1.5 · fair 1.46✓ happened
2 goals or fewer in the match57%Total goals under 2.5 · fair 1.76did not happen
3+ goals in the match43%Total goals over 2.5 · fair 2.32✓ happened
3 goals or fewer in the match77%Total goals under 3.5 · fair 1.30✓ happened
4+ goals in the match23%fair 4.41
Do both teams score?
Both teams score46%Both teams to score: yes · fair 2.18did not happen
Not both teams score54%Both teams to score: no · fair 1.85✓ happened
How many goals do Scotland score?
Scotland fail to score41%Scotland goals under 0.5 · fair 2.48✓ happened
Scotland score59%Scotland goals over 0.5 · fair 1.67did not happen
Scotland score at most 1 goal77%Scotland goals under 1.5 · fair 1.30✓ happened
Scotland score 2+ goals23%fair 4.39
How many goals do Switzerland score?
Switzerland fail to score22%fair 4.49
Switzerland score78%Switzerland goals over 0.5 · fair 1.29✓ happened
Switzerland score at most 1 goal55%Switzerland goals under 1.5 · fair 1.81did not happen
Switzerland score 2+ goals45%Switzerland goals over 1.5 · fair 2.24✓ happened
Switzerland score 2 goals or fewer80%Switzerland goals under 2.5 · fair 1.27did not happen
Switzerland score 3+ goals20%fair 4.95
Which range do the goals fall in?
2–3 goals in the match47%Total goals 2-3 · fair 2.13✓ happened
0–1 goals in the match31%Total goals 0-1 · fair 3.23did not happen
Goals and both teams scoring
2 goals or fewer, not both teams score45%Under 2.5 + both teams to score: no · fair 2.23did not happen
3+ goals, both teams score34%Over 2.5 + both teams to score: yes · fair 2.97did not happen
Who leads at half-time?
Scotland lead at half-time19%fair 5.36
Level at half-time44%Half-time result: draw · fair 2.28did not happen
Switzerland lead at half-time37%Half-time result: Switzerland · fair 2.66✓ happened
How many goals in the first half?
No goals in the first half35%First half goals under 0.5 · fair 2.87did not happen
At least one goal in the first half65%First half goals over 0.5 · fair 1.53✓ happened
At most 1 goal in the first half71%First half goals under 1.5 · fair 1.41✓ happened
2+ goals in the first half29%fair 3.46
Do both teams score in the first half?
Both teams score in the first half16%fair 6.27
Not both teams score in the first half84%First half, both teams to score: no · fair 1.19✓ happened
Who wins the second half?
Scotland win the second half20%fair 4.93
Second half drawn39%Second half result: draw · fair 2.59did not happen
Switzerland win the second half41%Second half result: Switzerland · fair 2.43✓ happened
Which half has more goals?
More goals in the second half43%Higher-scoring half: second · fair 2.34✓ happened
Do Scotland win at least one half?
Scotland win at least one half35%Scotland win either half: yes · fair 2.83did not happen
Scotland win neither half65%Scotland win either half: no · fair 1.55✓ happened
Do Switzerland win at least one half?
Switzerland win at least one half63%Switzerland win either half: yes · fair 1.59✓ happened
Switzerland win neither half37%Switzerland win either half: no · fair 2.70did not happen
Do Switzerland win both halves?
Switzerland win both halves15%fair 6.79
Switzerland don’t win both halves85%Switzerland win both halves: no · fair 1.17did not happen
Half-time and full-time result
Switzerland lead at half-time, Switzerland win the match31%Half-time/full-time: Switzerland / Switzerland · fair 3.20✓ happened
How many corners do Scotland have?
Scotland have 3 corners or fewer46%Scotland corners under 3.5 · fair 2.18✓ happened
Scotland have 4+ corners54%Scotland corners over 3.5 · fair 1.84did not happen
How many corners do Switzerland have?
Switzerland have 4 corners or fewer49%Switzerland corners under 4.5 · fair 2.04did not happen
Switzerland have 5+ corners51%Switzerland corners over 4.5 · fair 1.96✓ happened
How many cards in the match?
2 cards or fewer in the match26%fair 3.84
3+ cards in the match74%Total cards over 2.5 · fair 1.35did not happen
3 cards or fewer in the match41%Total cards under 3.5 · fair 2.42✓ happened
4+ cards in the match59%Total cards over 3.5 · fair 1.70did not happen
4 cards or fewer in the match58%Total cards under 4.5 · fair 1.73✓ happened
5+ cards in the match42%Total cards over 4.5 · fair 2.38did not happen
5 cards or fewer in the match71%Total cards under 5.5 · fair 1.40✓ happened
6+ cards in the match29%fair 3.50