How did our suggestions turn out?
SolidHit
2 goals or fewer in the first halfFirst half goals under 2.582%we said so
Score 1–2
Most likelyHit
3 goals or fewer in the matchTotal goals under 3.559%we said so
3 goals in the match
SurpriseHit
Netherlands win, both teams scoreNetherlands + both teams to score: yes33%we said so
Score 1–2
6 of 6 suggestions hit
Other strong options:Not both teams score in the first half79%Netherlands win at least one half78%Serbia score at most 1 goal76%
Who wins? · pre-match
13%Serbia18%Draw69%Netherlands
Result: Netherlands wonHow many goals?expected 3.2 · actual 3
012345+
2 goals or fewer 38% · 3 or more 62%Likeliest scores
0–211%1–210%0–19%
The match ended 1–2; before kick-off we gave this score 10%.Expectation and actual
ExpectedActual
Goals3.23Hit
Cards3.82Hit
Corners8.97Hit
Scenario that happened“Netherlands win, 3+ goals” (before the match 49%, the 1st likeliest scenario).
How did the match go?
The chances we gave before the match; the one with the green frame happened.
Serbia win 13%Draw 18%Netherlands win 69%3+ goals3 or more goals · 62%2 goals or fewer2 goals or fewer · 38%
The chances we gave before the match; the green ones happened.
Who wins?
Serbia win13%fair 7.64
Draw18%fair 5.46
Netherlands win69%Match result: Netherlands · fair 1.46✓ happened
Who avoids defeat?
Serbia avoid defeat31%Double chance: Serbia or draw · fair 3.19did not happen
Netherlands avoid defeat87%fair 1.15
No draw82%Double chance: Serbia or Netherlands · fair 1.22✓ happened
Do Netherlands win without conceding?
Netherlands win without conceding36%Netherlands win to nil: yes · fair 2.77did not happen
Netherlands don’t win without conceding64%Netherlands win to nil: no · fair 1.57✓ happened
Result and goals together
Netherlands win, 2+ goals60%Netherlands + over 1.5 · fair 1.68✓ happened
Netherlands win, 3+ goals49%Netherlands + over 2.5 · fair 2.04✓ happened
Netherlands win, 3 goals or fewer38%Netherlands + under 3.5 · fair 2.65✓ happened
Netherlands win, 4+ goals31%Netherlands + over 3.5 · fair 3.22did not happen
Netherlands win, not both teams score36%Netherlands + both teams to score: no · fair 2.77did not happen
Netherlands win, both teams score33%Netherlands + both teams to score: yes · fair 3.07✓ happened
By how many goals?
Netherlands don’t win by 2+ goals54%Handicap (Serbia +2): Serbia · fair 1.84✓ happened
Netherlands win by 2+ goals46%Handicap (Serbia +1): Netherlands · fair 2.18did not happen
Serbia avoid defeat31%Handicap (Serbia +1): Serbia · fair 3.20did not happen
How many goals in the match?
At most 1 goal in the match17%fair 5.97
2+ goals in the match83%Total goals over 1.5 · fair 1.20✓ happened
2 goals or fewer in the match37%Total goals under 2.5 · fair 2.67did not happen
3+ goals in the match63%Total goals over 2.5 · fair 1.60✓ happened
3 goals or fewer in the match59%Total goals under 3.5 · fair 1.69✓ happened
4+ goals in the match41%Total goals over 3.5 · fair 2.44did not happen
4 goals or fewer in the match78%Total goals under 4.5 · fair 1.29✓ happened
5+ goals in the match22%fair 4.46
Do both teams score?
Both teams score54%Both teams to score: yes · fair 1.85✓ happened
Not both teams score46%Both teams to score: no · fair 2.17did not happen
How many goals do Serbia score?
Serbia fail to score40%Serbia goals under 0.5 · fair 2.47did not happen
Serbia score60%Serbia goals over 0.5 · fair 1.68✓ happened
Serbia score at most 1 goal76%Serbia goals under 1.5 · fair 1.31✓ happened
Serbia score 2+ goals24%fair 4.25
How many goals do Netherlands score?
Netherlands score at most 1 goal32%Netherlands goals under 1.5 · fair 3.15did not happen
Netherlands score 2+ goals68%Netherlands goals over 1.5 · fair 1.47✓ happened
Netherlands score 2 goals or fewer59%Netherlands goals under 2.5 · fair 1.71✓ happened
Netherlands score 3+ goals41%Netherlands goals over 2.5 · fair 2.41did not happen
Which range do the goals fall in?
2–3 goals in the match43%Total goals 2-3 · fair 2.33✓ happened
Odd or even number of goals?
Odd number of goals50%Total goals odd · fair 2.00✓ happened
Even number of goals50%Total goals even · fair 2.00did not happen
Goals and both teams scoring
3+ goals, both teams score46%Over 2.5 + both teams to score: yes · fair 2.19✓ happened
2 goals or fewer, not both teams score32%Under 2.5 + both teams to score: no · fair 3.11did not happen
Who leads at half-time?
Serbia lead at half-time14%fair 6.93
Level at half-time35%Half-time result: draw · fair 2.89did not happen
Netherlands lead at half-time51%Half-time result: Netherlands · fair 1.96✓ happened
How many goals in the first half?
No goals in the first half24%fair 4.21
At least one goal in the first half76%First half goals over 0.5 · fair 1.31✓ happened
At most 1 goal in the first half58%First half goals under 1.5 · fair 1.73✓ happened
2+ goals in the first half42%First half goals over 1.5 · fair 2.38did not happen
2 goals or fewer in the first half82%First half goals under 2.5 · fair 1.21✓ happened
3+ goals in the first half18%fair 5.70
Do both teams score in the first half?
Both teams score in the first half21%fair 4.65
Not both teams score in the first half79%First half, both teams to score: no · fair 1.27✓ happened
Who wins the second half?
Serbia win the second half13%fair 7.49
Second half drawn31%Second half result: draw · fair 3.25✓ happened
Netherlands win the second half56%Second half result: Netherlands · fair 1.79did not happen
Which half has more goals?
More goals in the first half31%Higher-scoring half: first · fair 3.22did not happen
Same number of goals in each half23%fair 4.36
More goals in the second half46%Higher-scoring half: second · fair 2.17✓ happened
Do Serbia win at least one half?
Serbia win at least one half27%fair 3.71
Serbia win neither half73%Serbia win either half: no · fair 1.37✓ happened
Do Netherlands win at least one half?
Netherlands win at least one half78%Netherlands win either half: yes · fair 1.28✓ happened
Netherlands win neither half22%fair 4.61
Do Netherlands win both halves?
Netherlands win both halves28%fair 3.52
Netherlands don’t win both halves72%Netherlands win both halves: no · fair 1.40✓ happened
Half-time and full-time result
Netherlands lead at half-time, Netherlands win the match46%Half-time/full-time: Netherlands / Netherlands · fair 2.18✓ happened
How many corners do Serbia have?
Serbia have 2 corners or fewer41%Serbia corners under 2.5 · fair 2.42did not happen
Serbia have 3+ corners59%Serbia corners over 2.5 · fair 1.71✓ happened
Serbia have 3 corners or fewer57%Serbia corners under 3.5 · fair 1.75✓ happened
Serbia have 4+ corners43%Serbia corners over 3.5 · fair 2.34did not happen
How many corners do Netherlands have?
Netherlands have 4 corners or fewer43%Netherlands corners under 4.5 · fair 2.24✓ happened
Netherlands have 5+ corners57%Netherlands corners over 4.5 · fair 1.81did not happen
Netherlands have 5 corners or fewer51%Netherlands corners under 5.5 · fair 1.94✓ happened
Netherlands have 6+ corners49%Netherlands corners over 5.5 · fair 2.06did not happen
How many cards in the match?
2 cards or fewer in the match32%Total cards under 2.5 · fair 3.41✓ happened
3+ cards in the match71%Total cards over 2.5 · fair 1.42did not happen
3 cards or fewer in the match48%Total cards under 3.5 · fair 2.08✓ happened
4+ cards in the match52%Total cards over 3.5 · fair 1.93did not happen
4 cards or fewer in the match66%Total cards under 4.5 · fair 1.51✓ happened
5+ cards in the match34%Total cards over 4.5 · fair 2.94did not happen
How many shots on target in the match?
7 shots on target or fewer in the match36%fair 2.79
8+ shots on target in the match64%Total shots on target over 7.5 · fair 1.56✓ happened
8 shots on target or fewer in the match46%fair 2.16
9+ shots on target in the match54%Total shots on target over 8.5 · fair 1.86✓ happened
9 shots on target or fewer in the match57%fair 1.75
10+ shots on target in the match43%Total shots on target over 9.5 · fair 2.33✓ happened
10 shots on target or fewer in the match67%fair 1.50
11+ shots on target in the match33%Total shots on target over 10.5 · fair 3.00✓ happened
How many shots on target do Serbia have?
Serbia have 2 shots on target or fewer49%fair 2.06
Serbia have 3+ shots on target51%Serbia shots on target over 2.5 · fair 1.94✓ happened
Serbia have 3 shots on target or fewer67%fair 1.50
Serbia have 4+ shots on target33%Serbia shots on target over 3.5 · fair 3.00✓ happened
How many shots on target do Netherlands have?
Netherlands have 5 shots on target or fewer43%fair 2.31
Netherlands have 6+ shots on target57%Netherlands shots on target over 5.5 · fair 1.76✓ happened
Netherlands have 6 shots on target or fewer56%fair 1.77
Netherlands have 7+ shots on target44%Netherlands shots on target over 6.5 · fair 2.29✓ happened
Netherlands have 7 shots on target or fewer68%fair 1.46
Netherlands have 8+ shots on target32%Netherlands shots on target over 7.5 · fair 3.16✓ happened
How many shots in the match?
24 shots or fewer in the match42%fair 2.37
25+ shots in the match58%Total shots over 24.5 · fair 1.73✓ happened
26 shots or fewer in the match54%fair 1.86
27+ shots in the match46%Total shots over 26.5 · fair 2.16✓ happened
28 shots or fewer in the match65%fair 1.54
29+ shots in the match35%Total shots over 28.5 · fair 2.86✓ happened
How many shots do Serbia have?
Serbia have 9 shots or fewer51%fair 1.95
Serbia have 10+ shots49%Serbia shots over 9.5 · fair 2.05✓ happened
Serbia have 11 shots or fewer66%fair 1.52
Serbia have 12+ shots34%Serbia shots over 11.5 · fair 2.94did not happen
How many shots do Netherlands have?
Netherlands have 15 shots or fewer47%fair 2.12
Netherlands have 16+ shots53%Netherlands shots over 15.5 · fair 1.90✓ happened
Netherlands have 17 shots or fewer60%fair 1.66
Netherlands have 18+ shots40%Netherlands shots over 17.5 · fair 2.52✓ happened