How did our suggestions turn out?
SolidHit
2 goals or fewer in the first halfFirst half goals under 2.586%we said so
Score 2–1
Most likelyHit
Slovakia don’t win both halvesSlovakia win both halves: no66%we said so
Score 2–1
SurpriseMissed
Slovakia score 3+ goalsSlovakia goals over 2.540%we said so
Slovakia: 2 goals
5 of 6 suggestions hit
Other strong options:2+ goals in the match77%Slovakia win76%Slovakia win, 2+ goals63%
Who wins? · pre-match
76%Slovakia16%Draw8%Kazakhstan
Result: Slovakia wonHow many goals?expected 2.9 · actual 3
012345+
2 goals or fewer 45% · 3 or more 55%Likeliest scores
2–015%1–013%3–011%
The match ended 2–1; before kick-off we gave this score 9%.Expectation and actual
ExpectedActual
Goals2.93Hit
Corners9.89Hit
Scenario that happened“Slovakia win, 3+ goals” (before the match 48%, the 1st likeliest scenario).
How did the match go?
The chances we gave before the match; the one with the green frame happened.
Slovakia win 76%Draw 16%Kazakhstan win 8%3+ goals3 or more goals · 55%2 goals or fewer2 goals or fewer · 45%
The chances we gave before the match; the green ones happened.
Who wins?
Slovakia win76%Match result: Slovakia · fair 1.31✓ happened
Draw16%fair 6.25
Kazakhstan win8%fair 12.92
Who avoids defeat?
Slovakia avoid defeat92%fair 1.08
Kazakhstan avoid defeat24%fair 4.21
No draw83%Double chance: Slovakia or Kazakhstan · fair 1.21✓ happened
Result and goals together
Slovakia win, 2+ goals63%Slovakia + over 1.5 · fair 1.58✓ happened
Slovakia win, 3+ goals48%Slovakia + over 2.5 · fair 2.07✓ happened
Slovakia win, 3 goals or fewer48%Slovakia + under 3.5 · fair 2.09✓ happened
Slovakia win, not both teams score50%Slovakia + both teams to score: no · fair 1.98did not happen
By how many goals?
Slovakia win by 2+ goals53%Handicap (Slovakia -1): Slovakia · fair 1.90did not happen
Slovakia don’t win by 2+ goals47%Handicap (Slovakia -2): Kazakhstan · fair 2.11✓ happened
How many goals in the match?
At most 1 goal in the match23%fair 4.42
2+ goals in the match77%Total goals over 1.5 · fair 1.30✓ happened
2 goals or fewer in the match45%Total goals under 2.5 · fair 2.21did not happen
3+ goals in the match55%Total goals over 2.5 · fair 1.82✓ happened
3 goals or fewer in the match67%Total goals under 3.5 · fair 1.49✓ happened
4+ goals in the match33%Total goals over 3.5 · fair 3.03did not happen
4 goals or fewer in the match83%Total goals under 4.5 · fair 1.21✓ happened
5+ goals in the match17%fair 5.93
Do both teams score?
Both teams score40%Both teams to score: yes · fair 2.53✓ happened
Not both teams score60%Both teams to score: no · fair 1.65did not happen
How many goals do Slovakia score?
Slovakia score at most 1 goal33%Slovakia goals under 1.5 · fair 3.09did not happen
Slovakia score 2+ goals67%Slovakia goals over 1.5 · fair 1.48✓ happened
Slovakia score 2 goals or fewer60%Slovakia goals under 2.5 · fair 1.67✓ happened
Slovakia score 3+ goals40%Slovakia goals over 2.5 · fair 2.49did not happen
How many goals do Kazakhstan score?
Kazakhstan fail to score56%Kazakhstan goals under 0.5 · fair 1.78did not happen
Kazakhstan score44%Kazakhstan goals over 0.5 · fair 2.27✓ happened
Which range do the goals fall in?
2–3 goals in the match46%Total goals 2-3 · fair 2.19✓ happened
Goals and both teams scoring
2 goals or fewer, not both teams score38%Under 2.5 + both teams to score: no · fair 2.65did not happen
3+ goals, both teams score32%Over 2.5 + both teams to score: yes · fair 3.12✓ happened
Who leads at half-time?
Slovakia lead at half-time56%Half-time result: Slovakia · fair 1.76did not happen
Level at half-time35%Half-time result: draw · fair 2.89✓ happened
Kazakhstan lead at half-time9%fair 11.17
How many goals in the first half?
No goals in the first half28%fair 3.53
At least one goal in the first half72%First half goals over 0.5 · fair 1.41✓ happened
At most 1 goal in the first half64%First half goals under 1.5 · fair 1.57did not happen
2+ goals in the first half36%First half goals over 1.5 · fair 2.75✓ happened
2 goals or fewer in the first half86%First half goals under 2.5 · fair 1.16✓ happened
3+ goals in the first half14%fair 7.25
Do both teams score in the first half?
Both teams score in the first half15%fair 6.89
Not both teams score in the first half85%First half, both teams to score: no · fair 1.17did not happen
Who wins the second half?
Slovakia win the second half61%Second half result: Slovakia · fair 1.63✓ happened
Second half drawn30%Second half result: draw · fair 3.31did not happen
Kazakhstan win the second half9%fair 11.75
Which half has more goals?
More goals in the first half31%Higher-scoring half: first · fair 3.26✓ happened
Same number of goals in each half25%fair 4.07
More goals in the second half45%Higher-scoring half: second · fair 2.23did not happen
Do Slovakia win both halves?
Slovakia win both halves34%Slovakia win both halves: yes · fair 2.96did not happen
Slovakia don’t win both halves66%Slovakia win both halves: no · fair 1.51✓ happened
Half-time and full-time result
Slovakia lead at half-time, Slovakia win the match52%Half-time/full-time: Slovakia / Slovakia · fair 1.93did not happen
How many corners do Slovakia have?
Slovakia have 6 corners or fewer52%Slovakia corners under 6.5 · fair 1.94did not happen
Slovakia have 7+ corners48%Slovakia corners over 6.5 · fair 2.07✓ happened
How many corners do Kazakhstan have?
Kazakhstan have 3 corners or fewer58%Kazakhstan corners under 3.5 · fair 1.74✓ happened
Kazakhstan have 4+ corners42%Kazakhstan corners over 3.5 · fair 2.36did not happen