How did our suggestions turn out?
SolidHit
Scotland score 2 goals or fewerScotland goals under 2.590%we said so
Scotland: 0 goals
Most likelyHit
Scotland avoid defeatDouble chance: draw or Scotland63%we said so
Score 0-0
SurpriseHit
DrawMatch result: draw30%we said so
Score 0-0
5 of 6 suggestions hit
Other strong options:3 goals or fewer in the match79%Slovenia score70%Slovenia get 2+ cards62%
Who wins? · pre-match
37%Slovenia30%Draw33%Scotland
Result: a drawHow many goals?expected 2.3 · actual 0
012345+
2 goals or fewer 60% · 3 or more 40%Likeliest scores
1–114%1–012%0–111%
The match ended 0–0; before kick-off we gave this score 11%.Expectation and actual
ExpectedActual
Goals2.30Close
Cards4.24Hit
Corners9.59Hit
Scenario that happened“Draw, 2 goals or fewer” (before the match 25%, the 1st likeliest scenario).
How did the match go?
The chances we gave before the match; the one with the green frame happened.
Slovenia win 37%Draw 30%Scotland win 33%3+ goals3 or more goals · 40%2 goals or fewer2 goals or fewer · 60%
The chances we gave before the match; the green ones happened.
Who wins?
Slovenia win37%Match result: Slovenia · fair 2.69did not happen
Draw30%Match result: draw · fair 3.32✓ happened
Scotland win33%Match result: Scotland · fair 3.06did not happen
Who avoids defeat?
Slovenia avoid defeat67%Double chance: Slovenia or draw · fair 1.49✓ happened
Scotland avoid defeat63%Double chance: draw or Scotland · fair 1.59✓ happened
No draw70%Double chance: Slovenia or Scotland · fair 1.43did not happen
How many goals in the match?
At most 1 goal in the match33%Total goals under 1.5 · fair 3.05✓ happened
2+ goals in the match67%Total goals over 1.5 · fair 1.49did not happen
2 goals or fewer in the match59%Total goals under 2.5 · fair 1.69✓ happened
3+ goals in the match41%Total goals over 2.5 · fair 2.45did not happen
3 goals or fewer in the match79%Total goals under 3.5 · fair 1.27✓ happened
4+ goals in the match21%fair 4.80
Do both teams score?
Both teams score47%Both teams to score: yes · fair 2.09did not happen
Not both teams score53%Both teams to score: no · fair 1.92✓ happened
How many goals do Slovenia score?
Slovenia fail to score30%Slovenia goals under 0.5 · fair 3.32✓ happened
Slovenia score70%Slovenia goals over 0.5 · fair 1.43did not happen
Slovenia score at most 1 goal66%Slovenia goals under 1.5 · fair 1.50✓ happened
Slovenia score 2+ goals34%Slovenia goals over 1.5 · fair 2.99did not happen
Slovenia score 2 goals or fewer88%Slovenia goals under 2.5 · fair 1.14✓ happened
Slovenia score 3+ goals12%fair 8.33
How many goals do Scotland score?
Scotland fail to score33%Scotland goals under 0.5 · fair 3.05✓ happened
Scotland score67%Scotland goals over 0.5 · fair 1.49did not happen
Scotland score at most 1 goal70%Scotland goals under 1.5 · fair 1.44✓ happened
Scotland score 2+ goals30%Scotland goals over 1.5 · fair 3.29did not happen
Scotland score 2 goals or fewer90%Scotland goals under 2.5 · fair 1.11✓ happened
Scotland score 3+ goals10%fair 9.91
How many corners do Slovenia have?
Slovenia have 4 corners or fewer48%Slovenia corners under 4.5 · fair 2.07did not happen
Slovenia have 5+ corners52%Slovenia corners over 4.5 · fair 1.94✓ happened
How many corners do Scotland have?
Scotland have 4 corners or fewer56%Scotland corners under 4.5 · fair 1.77✓ happened
Scotland have 5+ corners44%Scotland corners over 4.5 · fair 2.30did not happen
How many cards in the match?
3 cards or fewer in the match41%Total cards under 3.5 · fair 2.42did not happen
4+ cards in the match59%Total cards over 3.5 · fair 1.70✓ happened
4 cards or fewer in the match59%Total cards under 4.5 · fair 1.70✓ happened
5+ cards in the match41%Total cards over 4.5 · fair 2.43did not happen
How many cards do Slovenia get?
Slovenia get at most 1 card38%Slovenia cards under 1.5 · fair 2.60did not happen
Slovenia get 2+ cards62%Slovenia cards over 1.5 · fair 1.62✓ happened
How many cards do Scotland get?
Scotland get at most 1 card40%Scotland cards under 1.5 · fair 2.53✓ happened
Scotland get 2+ cards60%Scotland cards over 1.5 · fair 1.65did not happen