How did our suggestions turn out?
SolidHit
Castellon score 2 goals or fewerCastellon goals under 2.582%we said so
Castellon: 2 goals
Most likelyHit
5+ cards in the matchTotal cards over 4.560%we said so
8 cards in the match
SurpriseHit
Castellon win, 2+ goalsCastellon + over 1.533%we said so
Score 0–2
5 of 6 suggestions hit
Other strong options:Castellon don’t win without conceding77%2+ goals in the match75%No draw71%
Who wins? · pre-match
29%Leganes29%Draw42%Castellon
Result: Castellon wonHow many goals?expected 2.7 · actual 2
012345+
2 goals or fewer 51% · 3 or more 49%Likeliest scores
1–114%0–110%1–29%
The match ended 0–2; before kick-off we gave this score 7%.Expectation and actual
ExpectedActual
Goals2.72Hit
Cards5.58Close
Corners9.46Close
Shots on target9.28Hit
Scenario that happened“Castellon win, 2 goals or fewer” (before the match 17%, the 3rd likeliest scenario). The likeliest scenario, “Castellon win, 3+ goals” (25%), did not happen.
What we said before the match
Both teams concede few goals.Leganes have the 5th-best defence in the league, Castellon the best.2 goals or fewer in the match50%Hit
Castellon are unbeaten away from home.3 wins, 0 draws, 0 defeats from 3 away matches.Castellon avoid defeat71%Hit
Leganes pick up few cards.Leganes have the fewest cards in the league. 5.5 cards expected in this match.5 cards or fewer in the match55%Missed
Castellon are in form.4 wins in their last 5 matches.Castellon win42%Hit
Castellon pick up few cards.Castellon have the 4th-fewest cards in the league. 5.5 cards expected in this match.5 cards or fewer in the match55%Missed
Leganes win few corners.2.7 corners per match, the fewest in the league.
How did the match go?
The chances we gave before the match; the one with the green frame happened.
Leganes win 29%Draw 29%Castellon win 42%3+ goals3 or more goals · 49%2 goals or fewer2 goals or fewer · 51%
Last 5 matchesHead-to-head: they have not met in this league in recent seasons.
LeganesWWDLW
CastellonDWWWW
Per matchLeganesCastellon
Goals scored0.862.00
Goals conceded1.000.29
Corners won2.95.1
Cards shown2.42.0
Line-upsStarting XIs come about an hour before kick-off; when they do, a “Line-ups” tab appears. Our suggestions are updated until the match starts.
The chances we gave before the match; the green ones happened.
Who wins?
Leganes win30%Match result: Leganes · fair 3.39did not happen
Draw29%fair 3.49
Castellon win42%Match result: Castellon · fair 2.39✓ happened
Who avoids defeat?
Leganes avoid defeat58%Double chance: Leganes or draw · fair 1.72did not happen
Castellon avoid defeat71%Double chance: draw or Castellon · fair 1.42✓ happened
No draw71%Double chance: Leganes or Castellon · fair 1.40✓ happened
Do Castellon win without conceding?
Castellon win without conceding23%fair 4.33
Castellon don’t win without conceding77%Castellon win to nil: no · fair 1.30did not happen
Result and goals together
Castellon win, 2+ goals33%Castellon + over 1.5 · fair 3.02✓ happened
Castellon win, 3 goals or fewer30%Castellon + under 3.5 · fair 3.31✓ happened
By how many goals?
Castellon don’t win by 2+ goals79%Handicap (Leganes +2): Leganes · fair 1.27did not happen
Castellon avoid defeat69%Handicap (Leganes -1): Castellon · fair 1.45✓ happened
Leganes avoid defeat57%Handicap (Leganes +1): Leganes · fair 1.76did not happen
How many goals in the match?
At most 1 goal in the match25%fair 3.95
2+ goals in the match75%Total goals over 1.5 · fair 1.34✓ happened
2 goals or fewer in the match50%Total goals under 2.5 · fair 2.02✓ happened
3+ goals in the match50%Total goals over 2.5 · fair 1.99did not happen
3 goals or fewer in the match72%Total goals under 3.5 · fair 1.41✓ happened
4+ goals in the match28%fair 3.51
Do both teams score?
Both teams score54%Both teams to score: yes · fair 1.85did not happen
Not both teams score46%Both teams to score: no · fair 2.17✓ happened
How many goals do Leganes score?
Leganes fail to score30%fair 3.38
Leganes score70%Leganes goals over 0.5 · fair 1.41did not happen
Leganes score at most 1 goal66%Leganes goals under 1.5 · fair 1.51✓ happened
Leganes score 2+ goals34%Leganes goals over 1.5 · fair 2.94did not happen
How many goals do Castellon score?
Castellon fail to score23%fair 4.38
Castellon score77%Castellon goals over 0.5 · fair 1.29✓ happened
Castellon score at most 1 goal57%Castellon goals under 1.5 · fair 1.77did not happen
Castellon score 2+ goals43%Castellon goals over 1.5 · fair 2.31✓ happened
Castellon score 2 goals or fewer82%Castellon goals under 2.5 · fair 1.23✓ happened
Castellon score 3+ goals18%fair 5.44
Which range do the goals fall in?
2–3 goals in the match47%Total goals 2-3 · fair 2.14✓ happened
Goals and both teams scoring
3+ goals, both teams score42%Over 2.5 + both teams to score: yes · fair 2.40did not happen
2 goals or fewer, not both teams score38%Under 2.5 + both teams to score: no · fair 2.65✓ happened
Who leads at half-time?
Leganes lead at half-time25%fair 3.97
Level at half-time42%Half-time result: draw · fair 2.38did not happen
Castellon lead at half-time33%Half-time result: Castellon · fair 3.05✓ happened
How many goals in the first half?
No goals in the first half31%First half goals under 0.5 · fair 3.24did not happen
At least one goal in the first half69%First half goals over 0.5 · fair 1.45✓ happened
At most 1 goal in the first half67%First half goals under 1.5 · fair 1.50✓ happened
2+ goals in the first half33%First half goals over 1.5 · fair 3.00did not happen
Do both teams score in the first half?
Both teams score in the first half20%fair 5.02
Not both teams score in the first half80%First half, both teams to score: no · fair 1.25✓ happened
Who wins the second half?
Leganes win the second half27%fair 3.67
Second half drawn37%Second half result: draw · fair 2.72did not happen
Castellon win the second half36%Second half result: Castellon · fair 2.78✓ happened
Which half has more goals?
More goals in the first half30%Higher-scoring half: first · fair 3.29did not happen
Same number of goals in each half26%fair 3.90
More goals in the second half44%Higher-scoring half: second · fair 2.27did not happen
Do Leganes win at least one half?
Leganes win at least one half46%Leganes win either half: yes · fair 2.19did not happen
Leganes win neither half54%Leganes win either half: no · fair 1.84✓ happened
Do Castellon win at least one half?
Castellon win at least one half57%Castellon win either half: yes · fair 1.76✓ happened
Castellon win neither half43%Castellon win either half: no · fair 2.32did not happen
How many corners do Leganes have?
Leganes have 3 corners or fewer42%Leganes corners under 3.5 · fair 2.34did not happen
Leganes have 4+ corners58%Leganes corners over 3.5 · fair 1.74✓ happened
How many corners do Castellon have?
Castellon have 4 corners or fewer45%Castellon corners under 4.5 · fair 2.24✓ happened
Castellon have 5+ corners55%Castellon corners over 4.5 · fair 1.81did not happen
How many cards in the match?
4 cards or fewer in the match40%Total cards under 4.5 · fair 2.38did not happen
5+ cards in the match60%Total cards over 4.5 · fair 1.73✓ happened
5 cards or fewer in the match55%Total cards under 5.5 · fair 1.74did not happen
6+ cards in the match45%Total cards over 5.5 · fair 2.36✓ happened
6 cards or fewer in the match68%Total cards under 6.5 · fair 1.48did not happen
7+ cards in the match32%Total cards over 6.5 · fair 3.08✓ happened
Last 6 league matches, newest on the left. The number on the right is the chance worked out for this match: streaks are a small sample, while the chance also takes the opponent and the league average into account.
- 3+ goalsthis match 50%
Leganes1/6
Castellon3/6 - 2+ goalsthis match 75%Leganes3/6Castellon4/6
- Both teams scorethis match 55%Leganes2/6Castellon2/6
The streaks are low, but the conditions of this match raise the chance.
- Team scoresLeganes4/670%Castellon5/677%
- 10+ cornersthis match 46%Leganes2/6Castellon3/6
- 4+ cardsthis match 78%Leganes5/6Castellon4/6
Granada
Eldense
Girona
Albacete
Celta B
Sabadell
Sociedad B2026-27 season, averages per match.
Leganesper matchCastellon- 0.86opponents 1.00Goalsleague 1.252.00opponents 0.29
- 11.0opponents 17.4Shotsleague 12.715.3opponents 9.7
- 4.1opponents 4.9Shots on targetleague 4.15.4opponents 2.7
- 2.9opponents 5.4Cornersleague 4.35.1opponents 3.9
- 2.4opponents 2.3Cardsleague 2.62.0opponents 3.3
This season: Leganes 7 matches, Castellon 7 matches. The big number is the team’s own, the one below its opponents’; the league figure is per team.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Castellon | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 19 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Eibar | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Almeria | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 15 | LWWWW |
| 8 |  Oviedo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 | WDWLW |
| 9 |  Tenerife | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 11 | LDWLD |
| 10 | Leganes | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 11 | WDLWL |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 | LDWLL |
| 12 |  Sporting Gijón | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 | WLLWL |
They have not met in this league in recent seasons.