How did our suggestions turn out?
SolidHit
Oviedo score 2 goals or fewerOviedo goals under 2.585%we said so
Oviedo: 2 goals
Most likelyMissed
6 cards or fewer in the matchTotal cards under 6.564%we said so
11 cards in the match
SurpriseMissed
DrawMatch result: draw30%we said so
Score 2-0
4 of 6 suggestions hit
Other strong options:Sporting Gijón score at most 1 goal78%Oviedo avoid defeat77%At most 1 goal in the first half74%
Who wins? · pre-match
46%Oviedo31%Draw23%Sporting Gijón
Result: Oviedo wonHow many goals?expected 2.2 · actual 2
012345+
2 goals or fewer 63% · 3 or more 37%Likeliest scores
1–014%1–114%0–012%
The match ended 2–0; before kick-off we gave this score 10%.Why did our pick miss?
We said “6 cards or fewer in the match”; the match had 11 cards, and we expected 4.9.
Our cards pick rests on the teams’ season data; the model does not treat the importance of a match (a derby, a relegation fight) separately.
Expectation and actual
ExpectedActual
Goals2.22Hit
Cards4.911Far off
Corners8.89Hit
Shots on target7.49Hit
Scenario that happened“Oviedo win, 2 goals or fewer” (before the match 24%, the 2nd likeliest scenario). The likeliest scenario, “Draw, 2 goals or fewer” (26%), did not happen.
What we said before the match
Neither side scores much or concedes much.Oviedo have the 4th-best defence in the league, Sporting Gijón the 5th-best; in attack they rank 20th and 19th of 22.2 goals or fewer in the match62%Hit
Oviedo are without a home win.0 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat from 3 home matches. Sporting Gijón away from home: 2 wins, 0 draws, 0 defeats.Sporting Gijón avoid defeat54%Missed
Both teams scoring is rare for these sides.Of the 12 matches involving these two this season, only 2 saw both teams score.Not both teams score57%Hit
Sporting Gijón win few corners.3.0 corners per match, the 2nd-fewest in the league.
How did the match go?
The chances we gave before the match; the one with the green frame happened.
Oviedo win 46%Draw 31%Sporting Gijón win 23%3+ goals3 or more goals · 37%2 goals or fewer2 goals or fewer · 63%
Last 5 matchesHead-to-head: they have not met in this league in recent seasons.
OviedoLWDWL
Sporting GijónWWLLW
Per matchOviedoSporting Gijón
Goals scored1.000.71
Goals conceded0.570.86
Corners won5.03.1
Cards shown2.92.7
Line-upsStarting XIs come about an hour before kick-off; when they do, a “Line-ups” tab appears. Our suggestions are updated until the match starts.
The chances we gave before the match; the green ones happened.
Who wins?
Oviedo win46%Match result: Oviedo · fair 2.16✓ happened
Draw30%Match result: draw · fair 3.28did not happen
Sporting Gijón win23%fair 4.30
Who avoids defeat?
Oviedo avoid defeat77%Double chance: Oviedo or draw · fair 1.30✓ happened
Sporting Gijón avoid defeat54%Double chance: draw or Sporting Gijón · fair 1.86did not happen
No draw70%Double chance: Oviedo or Sporting Gijón · fair 1.44✓ happened
Do Oviedo win without conceding?
Oviedo win without conceding31%Oviedo win to nil: yes · fair 3.25✓ happened
Oviedo don’t win without conceding69%Oviedo win to nil: no · fair 1.44did not happen
Result and goals together
Oviedo win, 3 goals or fewer37%Oviedo + under 3.5 · fair 2.68✓ happened
Oviedo win, 2+ goals33%Oviedo + over 1.5 · fair 3.07✓ happened
Oviedo win, not both teams score31%Oviedo + both teams to score: no · fair 3.25✓ happened
By how many goals?
Oviedo don’t win by 2+ goals78%Handicap (Oviedo -2): Sporting Gijón · fair 1.29did not happen
Oviedo avoid defeat75%Handicap (Oviedo +1): Oviedo · fair 1.32✓ happened
Sporting Gijón avoid defeat53%Handicap (Oviedo -1): Sporting Gijón · fair 1.90did not happen
How many goals in the match?
At most 1 goal in the match35%Total goals under 1.5 · fair 2.85did not happen
2+ goals in the match65%Total goals over 1.5 · fair 1.54✓ happened
2 goals or fewer in the match62%Total goals under 2.5 · fair 1.61✓ happened
3+ goals in the match38%Total goals over 2.5 · fair 2.63did not happen
3 goals or fewer in the match81%Total goals under 3.5 · fair 1.25✓ happened
4+ goals in the match19%fair 5.30
Do both teams score?
Both teams score43%Both teams to score: yes · fair 2.34did not happen
Not both teams score57%Both teams to score: no · fair 1.75✓ happened
How many goals do Oviedo score?
Oviedo fail to score26%fair 3.79
Oviedo score74%Oviedo goals over 0.5 · fair 1.35✓ happened
Oviedo score at most 1 goal62%Oviedo goals under 1.5 · fair 1.62did not happen
Oviedo score 2+ goals38%Oviedo goals over 1.5 · fair 2.60✓ happened
Oviedo score 2 goals or fewer85%Oviedo goals under 2.5 · fair 1.18✓ happened
Oviedo score 3+ goals15%fair 6.69
How many goals do Sporting Gijón score?
Sporting Gijón fail to score42%Sporting Gijón goals under 0.5 · fair 2.42✓ happened
Sporting Gijón score58%Sporting Gijón goals over 0.5 · fair 1.70did not happen
Sporting Gijón score at most 1 goal78%Sporting Gijón goals under 1.5 · fair 1.28✓ happened
Sporting Gijón score 2+ goals22%fair 4.58
Which range do the goals fall in?
2–3 goals in the match46%Total goals 2-3 · fair 2.15✓ happened
0–1 goals in the match35%Total goals 0-1 · fair 2.82did not happen
Goals and both teams scoring
2 goals or fewer, not both teams score49%Under 2.5 + both teams to score: no · fair 2.02✓ happened
3+ goals, both teams score32%Over 2.5 + both teams to score: yes · fair 3.10did not happen
Who leads at half-time?
Oviedo lead at half-time34%Half-time result: Oviedo · fair 2.92✓ happened
Level at half-time46%Half-time result: draw · fair 2.16did not happen
Sporting Gijón lead at half-time20%fair 5.09
How many goals in the first half?
No goals in the first half37%First half goals under 0.5 · fair 2.68did not happen
At least one goal in the first half63%First half goals over 0.5 · fair 1.59✓ happened
At most 1 goal in the first half74%First half goals under 1.5 · fair 1.34✓ happened
2+ goals in the first half26%fair 3.90
Who wins the second half?
Oviedo win the second half37%Second half result: Oviedo · fair 2.67✓ happened
Second half drawn41%Second half result: draw · fair 2.44did not happen
Sporting Gijón win the second half22%fair 4.65
Which half has more goals?
More goals in the second half42%Higher-scoring half: second · fair 2.40did not happen
Do Oviedo win at least one half?
Oviedo win at least one half58%Oviedo win either half: yes · fair 1.71✓ happened
Oviedo win neither half42%Oviedo win either half: no · fair 2.41did not happen
Do Sporting Gijón win at least one half?
Sporting Gijón win at least one half37%Sporting Gijón win either half: yes · fair 2.70did not happen
Sporting Gijón win neither half63%Sporting Gijón win either half: no · fair 1.59✓ happened
How many corners do Oviedo have?
Oviedo have 5 corners or fewer57%Oviedo corners under 5.5 · fair 1.78✓ happened
Oviedo have 6+ corners43%Oviedo corners over 5.5 · fair 2.27did not happen
How many corners do Sporting Gijón have?
Sporting Gijón have 3 corners or fewer53%Sporting Gijón corners under 3.5 · fair 1.91did not happen
Sporting Gijón have 4+ corners47%Sporting Gijón corners over 3.5 · fair 2.10✓ happened
How many cards in the match?
5 cards or fewer in the match50%Total cards under 5.5 · fair 2.76did not happen
6+ cards in the match50%Total cards over 5.5 · fair 1.57✓ happened
6 cards or fewer in the match64%Total cards under 6.5 · fair 2.01did not happen
7+ cards in the match36%Total cards over 6.5 · fair 1.99✓ happened
Last 6 league matches, newest on the left. The number on the right is the chance worked out for this match: streaks are a small sample, while the chance also takes the opponent and the league average into account.
- 3+ goalsthis match 38%
Oviedo2/6
Sporting Gijón1/6 - 2+ goalsthis match 65%Oviedo2/6Sporting Gijón2/6
The streaks are low, but the conditions of this match raise the chance.
- Both teams scorethis match 43%Oviedo1/6Sporting Gijón1/6
The streaks are low, but the conditions of this match raise the chance.
- Team scoresOviedo3/673%Sporting Gijón3/658%
- 10+ cornersthis match 39%Oviedo3/6Sporting Gijón1/6
- 4+ cardsthis match 72%Oviedo6/6Sporting Gijón5/6
Valladolid
Burgos
Albacete
Andorra
Eldense
Girona2026-27 season, averages per match.
Oviedoper matchSporting Gijón- 1.00opponents 0.57Goalsleague 1.260.71opponents 0.86
- 14.3opponents 11.4Shotsleague 12.610.7opponents 11.4
- 4.1opponents 2.9Shots on targetleague 4.13.7opponents 3.1
- 5.0opponents 4.0Cornersleague 4.33.1opponents 4.9
- 2.9opponents 3.0Cardsleague 2.62.7opponents 2.4
This season: Oviedo 7 matches, Sporting Gijón 7 matches. The big number is the team’s own, the one below its opponents’; the league figure is per team.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |  Mallorca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 13 | WDWWL |
| 7 |  Sabadell | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 12 | WWLWD |
| 8 | Oviedo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 | WDWLW |
| 9 |  Leganes | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 11 | WWDLW |
| 10 |  Tenerife | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 11 | LDWLD |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 | LDWLL |
| 12 | Sporting Gijón | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 | WLLWL |
| 13 |  Granada | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 | WLDLL |
| 14 |  Sociedad B | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 | DDWLL |
They have not met in this league in recent seasons.